Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46f69694df1900eac5212292e7d06aad19be59fd15e9694f05a7725a3da23667
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $964,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $955,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $964,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,092 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 70c | 244,038$170,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,363.02 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed Yes | 30c | 149,899$44,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,969.56 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 45,971$14,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,659.34 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 30c | 43,325$12,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,997.5 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 70c | 35,000$24,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,500 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 33,327$9,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,670.18 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 28,263$20,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,916.88 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 60c | 25,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 69c | 20,938$14,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,471.94 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed No | 70c | 20,113$14,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,947.85 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 70c | 16,741$11,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,049.31 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 32c | 15,704$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…6eb5backed No | 70c | 13,522$9,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,101.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 31c | 13,000$3,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,970 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f5…3092backed Yes | 49c | 10,154$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +67%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 19c | 9,025$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.68 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 35c | 8,830$3,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,078.49 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 30c | 8,084$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.17 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 29c | 7,285$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 29c | 7,159$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.09 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 27c | 7,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 71c | 6,747$4,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.55 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 31c | 6,415$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4735…ed50backed Yes | 8c | 6,348$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 69c | 5,551$3,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.67 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 40c | 5,510$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.01 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…479cbacked Yes | 30c | 5,403$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Yes | 28c | 5,179$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…3c38backed Yes | 27c | 4,928$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.56 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked No | 70c | 4,700$3,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.85 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…456cbacked Yes | 31c | 4,576$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.76 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…a2edbacked Yes | 31c | 4,226$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 60c | 4,039$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.69 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 27c | 4,009$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.42 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5064…3ba3backed Yes | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf67…eee6backed No | 72c | 4,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 28c | 3,600$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…ee6dbacked Yes | 29c | 3,462$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Yes | 28c | 3,407$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.92 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8786…8fcabacked Yes | 30c | 3,348$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 79c | 3,323$2,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.57 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadb7…91b4backed Yes | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 30c | 2,854$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.1 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Yes | 29c | 2,759$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 38c | 2,751$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.53 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed No | 73c | 2,723$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.53 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -10.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…b8d7backed Yes | 27c | 2,662$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 29c | 2,576$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.09 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b3…442cbacked No | 70c | 2,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes | 11c | 2,273$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35fe…95f7backed Yes | 11c | 2,195$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e2…a455backed Yes | 9c | 2,191$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 69c | 2,143$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.47 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c3…598dbacked No | 73c | 2,042$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…577abacked No | 73c | 2,037$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed No | 72c | 1,910$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.77 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65cb…0fa9backed Yes | 27c | 1,866$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 78c | 1,836$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.17 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4f…a442backed Yes | 23c | 1,807$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 61c | 1,783$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.18 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4c…c36fbacked No | 70c | 1,714$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 71c | 1,664$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.62 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a6…6b8dbacked No | 73c | 1,596$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked No | 54c | 1,588$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.49 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…2838backed No | 73c | 1,556$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 29c | 1,545$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.99 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…1014backed Yes | 33c | 1,528$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed Yes | 24c | 1,500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 71c | 1,480$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.77 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…cbf9backed Yes | 27c | 1,446$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde03…e629backed Yes | 12c | 1,435$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.58 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1761…8b5bbacked No | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f5…a5aebacked Yes | 27c | 1,411$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 29c | 1,379$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…e0e1backed Yes | 33c | 1,378$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,373$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.88 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked No | 76c | 1,366$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.7 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…1a10backed Yes | 27c | 1,331$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 73c | 1,320$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.06 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3b…69c0backed No | 73c | 1,313$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee9…00c8backed Yes | 27c | 1,303$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.81 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 71c | 1,303$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.8 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438c…72d6backed Yes | 12c | 1,294$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 31c | 1,290$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0965…f434backed Yes | 31c | 1,290$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8111…38f0backed No | 70c | 1,280$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…a97fbacked No | 73c | 1,236$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 69c | 1,235$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 28c | 1,234$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.52 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x508e…648bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,213$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 29c | 1,200$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aca…f4c3backed Yes | 31c | 1,193$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.76 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 17c | 1,190$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 36c | 1,186$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.26 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6f…01c0backed No | 73c | 1,158$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.66 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe82…c594backed No | 73c | 1,153$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.31 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?this page
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?No won
- Will Chelsea vs. Arsenal end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.