TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$964,784
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$955,124

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $964,784 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,092 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed No70c244,038$170,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,363.0221853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x869b…c625backed Yes30c149,899$44,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,969.561770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+35%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes32c45,971$14,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,659.346,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes30c43,325$12,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,997.514544.8%65 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed No70c35,000$24,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,5008940.4%36 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes29c33,327$9,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,670.181,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c28,263$20,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,916.882,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No60c25,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,00031947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No69c20,938$14,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,471.9421154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed No70c20,113$14,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,947.857147.9%34 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No70c16,741$11,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,049.315054%27 W · 23 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Yes32c15,704$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010737.4%40 W · 67 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x54f5…6eb5backed No70c13,522$9,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,101.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes31c13,000$3,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9704847.9%23 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2f5…3092backed Yes49c10,154$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+67%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes19c9,025$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.6817234.3%59 W · 113 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Yes35c8,830$3,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,078.4929253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes30c8,084$2,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,425.171,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes29c7,285$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1004134.1%14 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes29c7,159$2,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,066.092,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes27c7,000$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,89014854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No71c6,747$4,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,956.5530851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes31c6,415$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4735…ed50backed Yes8c6,348$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No69c5,551$3,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,720.6724846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes40c5,510$2,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,204.0127750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4011…479cbacked Yes30c5,403$1,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,608.2616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Yes28c5,179$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4509636.5%35 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50022744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x263f…3c38backed Yes27c4,928$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.56714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick44cpaid-67.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked No70c4,700$3,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,395.8510636.8%39 W · 67 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f58…456cbacked Yes31c4,576$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.762828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x516a…a2edbacked Yes31c4,226$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No60c4,039$2,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,606.6941344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes27c4,009$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.4220448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5064…3ba3backed Yes28c4,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1201942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf67…eee6backed No72c4,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1201855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes28c3,600$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6702…ee6dbacked Yes29c3,462$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.9540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed Yes28c3,407$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.922927.6%8 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-50.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8786…8fcabacked Yes30c3,348$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No79c3,323$2,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.571,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadb7…91b4backed Yes11c3,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes30c2,854$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.111945.4%54 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7990…c870backed Yes29c2,759$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8004042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes38c2,751$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.5351542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…ed83backed No73c2,723$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.537035.7%25 W · 45 L-10.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x245c…b8d7backed Yes27c2,662$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.74771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Yes29c2,576$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.094637%17 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31b3…442cbacked No70c2,500$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes11c2,273$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505841.4%24 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35fe…95f7backed Yes11c2,195$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04e2…a455backed Yes9c2,191$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2081435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-24.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No69c2,143$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.4711346%52 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c3…598dbacked No73c2,042$1,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.34742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d46…577abacked No73c2,037$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.99825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64025836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Yes31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62017544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5801,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed No72c1,910$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.773647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65cb…0fa9backed Yes27c1,866$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.82742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No78c1,836$1,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.1756453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b4f…a442backed Yes23c1,807$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.97633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-51.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No61c1,783$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.1828736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc4c…c36fbacked No70c1,714$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.294100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No71c1,664$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.6221353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78a6…6b8dbacked No73c1,596$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.62650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0521…cc4abacked No54c1,588$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.496150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8a0…2838backed No73c1,556$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.12837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes29c1,545$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.991,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b4…1014backed Yes33c1,528$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21d8…ad91backed Yes24c1,500$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No71c1,480$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.7790751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb15…cbf9backed Yes27c1,446$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.421050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde03…e629backed Yes12c1,435$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.581729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1761…8b5bbacked No70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.57366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62f5…a5aebacked Yes27c1,411$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.97666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+78.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes29c1,379$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008736.8%32 W · 55 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x993f…e0e1backed Yes33c1,378$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.621050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes8c1,373$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8823926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked No76c1,366$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.723741.8%99 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9714…1a10backed Yes27c1,331$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.37944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No73c1,320$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.0613832.6%45 W · 93 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d3b…69c0backed No73c1,313$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.51862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+54.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ee9…00c8backed Yes27c1,303$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.81944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+33.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No71c1,303$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.825752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x438c…72d6backed Yes12c1,294$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes31c1,290$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40034628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0965…f434backed Yes31c1,290$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8111…38f0backed No70c1,280$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5543…a97fbacked No73c1,236$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.72850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked No69c1,235$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38621656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes28c1,234$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.5245936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x508e…648bbacked Yes16c1,213$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1991637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes29c1,200$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34822534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aca…f4c3backed Yes31c1,193$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.761127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Yes17c1,190$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008854.5%48 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes36c1,186$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.261,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6f…01c0backed No73c1,158$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.66785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+75.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe82…c594backed No73c1,153$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.31785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+75.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.