Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea vs. Arsenal end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9948b651ca19bf03484e54d07ec2dc9cd0f7bac444d78dc938dc26c793e7cf24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 13,863$2,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,781.52 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 31c | 13,000$4,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,939.96 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 49c | 10,940$5,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,356.59 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 6,695$4,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,260.74 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 70c | 4,938$3,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,461.81 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 69c | 3,953$2,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,727.24 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes | 29c | 3,448$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.08 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0d…e220backed Yes | 34c | 3,194$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,093.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.96 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 31c | 2,900$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.82 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 60c | 2,690$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.2 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 32c | 2,627$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.93 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 66c | 2,540$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.12 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 44c | 2,515$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.8 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f90…163cbacked No | 70c | 2,450$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadb7…91b4backed Yes | 30c | 2,373$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked No | 69c | 2,020$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.8 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Yes | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbce…8faabacked Yes | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eea…929abacked Yes | 31c | 1,917$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 30c | 1,888$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.6 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…3ebfbacked Yes | 44c | 1,723$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.71 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0225…ee4ebacked No | 40c | 1,701$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…0884backed Yes | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.15 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 1,513$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.25 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…d42fbacked Yes | 49c | 1,409$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.04 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 43c | 1,330$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.43 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aca…f4c3backed Yes | 29c | 1,262$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.57 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…9212backed Yes | 34c | 1,030$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked No | 72c | 937.5$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…f7febacked Yes | 67c | 895.52$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3688…7567backed No | 69c | 866$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed No | 15c | 788.26$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.8 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…cf5fbacked Yes | 61c | 710.26$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…86d2backed Yes | 43c | 670.02$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.91 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked Yes | 34c | 647.06$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.06 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…fa77backed Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd005…56a2backed Yes | 32c | 600$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b28…db7fbacked Yes | 32c | 570.08$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 45c | 564$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…82f6backed No | 3c | 560.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 71c | 539.72$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.2 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb02a…4372backed Yes | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.24 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed68…236cbacked No | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 29c | 499.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.99 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes | 34c | 493.85$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.94 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 72c | 475.14$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.1 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f5…394cbacked Yes | 69c | 471.09$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 71c | 421.24$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.08 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 42c | 414.52$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.08 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 30c | 413.33$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.33 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa506…5030backed Yes | 34c | 367.65$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed Yes | 62c | 330.65$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.65 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15d…6a7cbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdb…529dbacked No | 53c | 319.66$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.42 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -5.5wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0605…93c6backed Yes | 32c | 313.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…c1afbacked Yes | 75c | 309.65$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f59…3a50backed Yes | 70c | 302.36$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.8 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 19c | 301.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…c236backed No | 57c | 300$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101e…eaf4backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…d883backed Yes | 49c | 290.71$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes | 52c | 262.86$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.46 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 39c | 237.36$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.78 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ac…d539backed Yes | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 32c | 231.84$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.65 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…a57ebacked No | 71c | 228$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.58 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 74cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Yes | 63c | 213.18$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.18 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8439…11c0backed Yes | 57c | 210.34$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.34 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked Yes | 30c | 205$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.5 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…3dd4backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b3…6bfcbacked No | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd036…a17cbacked Yes | 31c | 200$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 44c | 190$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.55 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 48c | 190$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5648…a6c4backed Yes | 30c | 181.13$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Yes | 34c | 170$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 30c | 169.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…b5dabacked No | 69c | 169.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…e208backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 28c | 160$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1473…a1abbacked Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09b8…fd20backed Yes | 62c | 144.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…b6d7backed No | 69c | 144$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x680b…276abacked No | 23c | 139.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 43c | 137.76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 45c | 133.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.41 | 52 | 80.8%42 W · 10 L | +13.0wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +57%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea vs. Arsenal end in a draw?this page
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?No won
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.