TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x101e…eaf4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST2330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Celtics vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$48.72
Spread: Raptors (-6.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25.63
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$157.99
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$31.8
76ers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+426.3%+$110.84
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+112.8%+$28.19
76ers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$92.89
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+150%+$111
Pistons vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Kings vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+81.8%+$78.75
Clippers vs. Thunderbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+76.6%+$45.96
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. 76ersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+146.1%+$121.47
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$47.68
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 23 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-62.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.52
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.45
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.84
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$4,769Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$4,769.43
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$649Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$648.98
Will Kast win by 10% to 15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Kast win by 5% to 10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Franco Parisi endorse no candidate for President of Chile?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+68.6%+$213.02
Will Franco Parisi endorse José Antonio Kast for President of Chile?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$523Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$523
Will Franco Parisi endorse Jeanette Jara for President of Chile?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$220
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$361
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,254Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+289.7%+$3,633.77
Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$282
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$362.8
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-26.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$234
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.2
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$121.4
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$55.07
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$111.3
Will Finland vs. Malta end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 11 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48.45
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+258.4%+$337.94
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$427.42
Will CA Unión win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$103.63
Will CA Unión win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Racing Club win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+107.9%+$309.66
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick10cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick23cpaid+173.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.