World Politics · resolved market
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4ae3ea41585388982a6d4cb9b60f4314d92f24ffc88067c9442b72dcc2f2575
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,510,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,240,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,510,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9c0…67f2backed Yes | 31c | 92,117$28,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,560.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…51b4backed No | 69c | 92,117$63,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,560.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe418…0e52backed Yes | 41c | 80,724$33,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,627.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…b587backed No | 59c | 80,724$47,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,627.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a19…8179backed Yes | 6c | 68,235$4,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,148.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 4cpaid | +449.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed No | 72c | 54,086$38,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,891.41 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba0b…7888backed No | 74c | 52,704$39,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,000.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1b…0c85backed Yes | 26c | 52,704$13,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,000.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 16c | 45,283$7,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,851.26 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97db…8513backed No | 55c | 31,821$17,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,501.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f2…0932backed Yes | 45c | 31,812$14,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,496.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d4…6dddbacked Yes | 54c | 28,943$15,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,373.99 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…acc4backed Yes | 38c | 25,338$9,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,600.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked Yes | 28c | 23,559$6,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,957.01 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d1…e9c1backed Yes | 6c | 22,419$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,095.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +747.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 39c | 20,105$7,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,751.66 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb704…dc1ebacked No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Yes | 42c | 19,866$8,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,588.03 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…6c5dbacked Yes | 31c | 16,359$5,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,315.05 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafbe…8205backed Yes | 51c | 16,240$8,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,936.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc64a…11f9backed Yes | 30c | 15,506$4,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,901.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +236.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 38c | 14,651$5,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,033.41 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd18a…98aebacked Yes | 36c | 14,370$5,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,129.75 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9f…91dbbacked Yes | 34c | 13,849$4,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,146.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked Yes | 18c | 13,565$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,086.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83e1…6a54backed Yes | 76c | 13,530$10,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,248.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…9916backed Yes | 53c | 13,444$7,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,316.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 1c | 13,412$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.22 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Yes | 38c | 13,409$5,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,318.91 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x949a…721cbacked Yes | 24c | 13,003$3,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,878.06 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…1c24backed Yes | 33c | 12,586$4,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,455.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3327…11debacked Yes | 23c | 12,024$2,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,288.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…ae93backed Yes | 37c | 11,860$4,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,501.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed Yes | 30c | 11,846$3,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,302.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 26c | 11,773$3,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,728.53 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d0…97d3backed Yes | 13c | 11,689$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,198.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +684%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd16…561bbacked Yes | 75c | 10,913$8,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,698.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…4a6dbacked Yes | 32c | 10,744$3,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,326.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 44c | 10,103$4,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,657.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…97bcbacked Yes | 30c | 9,810$2,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,891.43 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 19c | 9,253$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,480.59 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2021…a8d5backed Yes | 27c | 9,200$2,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,733.41 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…1f97backed Yes | 32c | 9,132$2,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,200.61 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…cfb5backed Yes | 23c | 8,997$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,950.83 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes | 49c | 8,887$4,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,493.67 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 69c | 8,778$6,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,762.68 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Yes | 33c | 8,668$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,848.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…55f9backed Yes | 26c | 8,651$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,438.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +291%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 40c | 8,645$3,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,162.66 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 57c | 8,558$4,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,861.5 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Yes | 54c | 8,457$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,907.25 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Yes | 29c | 8,206$2,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800.34 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 41c | 8,136$3,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,788.38 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 26c | 7,887$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,806.57 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e1…e46dbacked Yes | 26c | 7,884$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,833.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 22c | 7,751$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,024.19 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x207d…fb1bbacked Yes | 38c | 7,720$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,782.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0408…061dbacked Yes | 14c | 7,710$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,658.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +319.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d9…4c5ebacked Yes | 67c | 7,601$5,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,507.58 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bd…169abacked Yes | 21c | 7,524$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,976.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +413.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…652abacked Yes | 40c | 7,135$2,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,247.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b51…5868backed Yes | 28c | 7,013$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,065.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6241…82b2backed Yes | 56c | 7,005$3,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…34f7backed Yes | 30c | 6,852$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,805.42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Yes | 17c | 6,837$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,680.63 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a38…8b70backed Yes | 48c | 6,780$3,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,533.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked Yes | 58c | 6,696$3,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,827.73 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed Yes | 31c | 6,517$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,512.13 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 24c | 6,416$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,852.7 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9a…db3fbacked Yes | 36c | 6,384$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,083.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…9b1abacked Yes | 61c | 6,270$3,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451.47 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +147.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4df…12d0backed Yes | 16c | 6,180$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,179.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +208.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 38c | 5,764$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,548.66 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8107…c1bdbacked Yes | 8c | 5,760$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,310.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,182.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed Yes | 8c | 5,604$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,137.18 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…aa73backed Yes | 21c | 5,518$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,372.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +381.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x462a…d36dbacked Yes | 60c | 5,468$3,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a6…cbadbacked Yes | 5c | 5,419$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,145.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,878.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b75…bc00backed Yes | 29c | 5,109$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,614.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +241.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…7a98backed Yes | 51c | 5,020$2,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,477.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 35c | 5,015$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,272.37 | 239 | 21.3%51 W · 188 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked Yes | 73c | 5,006$3,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 4c | 5,000$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,795.46 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc5…9b65backed Yes | 75c | 4,915$3,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x101e…eaf4backed Yes | 26c | 4,888$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,633.77 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9caa…99f3backed Yes | 31c | 4,703$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,239.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…4940backed Yes | 23c | 4,684$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,583.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325a…dbb4backed Yes | 22c | 4,627$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,629.08 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 69c | 4,496$3,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,090.95 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Yes | 13c | 4,466$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,898.46 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +7.4wins | +0.31per pick | 15cpaid | +216.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…2d8fbacked Yes | 62c | 4,432$2,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f13…3a2dbacked Yes | 58c | 4,431$2,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.56 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a6…3996backed Yes | 8c | 4,420$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,061.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +517.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad7d…f545backed Yes | 30c | 4,413$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,087.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3342…df4ebacked Yes | 31c | 4,410$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2644…daecbacked Yes | 26c | 4,358$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,226.54 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e4…7d32backed Yes | 39c | 4,329$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,652.69 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Yes | 6c | 4,202$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,930.42 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 71c | 4,189$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.88 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…20c9backed Yes | 24c | 4,142$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,153.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?this page
- Will FIT-U hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No won
- Will HNP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No won
- Will PRO hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No won
- Will SER hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No won
- Will UCR hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No won
- Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.