World Politics · resolved market
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd562bb4ace325b68081b92e594621294e0012ac39d3af48f2b1fd43cab925f69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,578,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,651,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,578,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,095 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee15…b6dbbacked No | 64c | 110,000$70,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…b5dcbacked Yes | 36c | 110,000$39,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908f…7e43backed Yes | 53c | 100,021$53,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,011.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc5…91d7backed No | 47c | 100,021$47,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,011.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…1f49backed Yes | 32c | 90,000$28,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,800 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9889…3e00backed No | 68c | 89,980$61,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,793.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba75…5eedbacked Yes | 53c | 88,451$46,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,879.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…613dbacked No | 47c | 88,451$41,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,879.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe918…8009backed No | 43c | 72,119$31,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,107.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f4…d0e7backed Yes | 57c | 72,119$41,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,107.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9f…91dbbacked Yes | 25c | 39,405$9,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,714.22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 51c | 32,230$16,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,573.43 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d4…6dddbacked Yes | 43c | 28,943$12,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,356.65 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6712…a5f0backed Yes | 23c | 22,347$5,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,139.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Yes | 55c | 21,899$11,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,999.07 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked Yes | 61c | 21,752$13,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,288.57 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 2c | 21,037$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.73 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 47c | 20,080$9,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,533.05 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a19…8179backed No | 9c | 19,912$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,061.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 4cpaid | +449.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8d…ce3abacked No | 28c | 17,300$4,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,519.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +153.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…acc4backed Yes | 72c | 14,834$10,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,716.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd18a…98aebacked Yes | 59c | 14,370$8,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,488.89 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked Yes | 65c | 13,679$8,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,899.49 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1b…2b5abacked No | 37c | 13,500$5,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,457.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +119.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 26c | 13,496$3,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,538.96 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a4…6356backed Yes | 78c | 12,879$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes | 28c | 12,333$3,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,451.3 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 20c | 12,027$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,595.32 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 46c | 11,439$5,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,235.98 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 61c | 11,399$7,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,006.2 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aab…3b61backed Yes | 49c | 10,544$5,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,141.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,413$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb30…5057backed Yes | 51c | 10,276$5,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,242.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…5224backed No | 49c | 10,276$5,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,240.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…1f97backed Yes | 49c | 10,002$4,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,904.15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc945…5676backed Yes | 67c | 9,864$6,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,578.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…97bcbacked Yes | 66c | 9,810$6,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,489.33 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e1…6a54backed Yes | 52c | 9,576$4,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,992 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…7546backed No | 45c | 9,423$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,182.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x592e…6b06backed Yes | 55c | 9,423$5,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,182.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 71c | 9,194$6,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,521.59 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…cfb5backed Yes | 30c | 8,542$2,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,586.99 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ba…99dabacked No | 48c | 8,452$4,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,395.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0e…84d7backed Yes | 52c | 8,452$4,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,395.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed Yes | 47c | 8,387$3,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,979.62 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 60c | 7,887$4,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,727.47 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2021…a8d5backed Yes | 61c | 7,630$4,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,653.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe140…78d4backed Yes | 74c | 7,386$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff10…7410backed Yes | 63c | 7,000$4,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,382 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed Yes | 2c | 6,907$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 50c | 6,861$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,430.24 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc042…ea55backed Yes | 63c | 6,500$4,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,075.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed No | 47c | 6,449$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,429.43 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d5…83f1backed Yes | 69c | 6,413$4,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,398.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 79c | 6,122$4,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,830.54 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 53c | 6,086$3,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,890.39 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,982$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 55 | 0%0 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 59c | 5,963$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1eb…3471backed No | 77c | 5,870$4,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe28a…aef9backed Yes | 72c | 5,800$4,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,204.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…931fbacked Yes | 72c | 5,800$4,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,193.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c56…adf0backed Yes | 72c | 5,700$4,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,121.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…ed4cbacked No | 77c | 5,505$4,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fc…8802backed No | 77c | 5,490$4,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…b34dbacked No | 77c | 5,482$4,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…7e0dbacked Yes | 77c | 5,462$4,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0048…ab1cbacked Yes | 79c | 5,334$4,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,235.52 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…106abacked No | 25c | 5,200$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…4fbfbacked Yes | 24c | 5,000$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d1…e9c1backed Yes | 20c | 5,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +747.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 25c | 4,918$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,693.4 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked No | 7c | 4,809$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,486.95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 10c | 4,777$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.53 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 36c | 4,717$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.69 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c1…c7a9backed Yes | 69c | 4,621$3,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,203.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 25c | 4,570$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.93 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…6c5dbacked Yes | 56c | 4,513$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.22 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 31c | 4,486$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.53 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…4a06backed Yes | 72c | 4,067$2,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,929.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 25c | 3,904$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,910.82 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef7…3b22backed Yes | 78c | 3,900$3,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,033.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45e…605fbacked Yes | 73c | 3,826$2,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,775.28 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed Yes | 55c | 3,692$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.49 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3327…11debacked Yes | 60c | 3,676$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Yes | 27c | 3,518$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.31 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +7.4wins | +0.31per pick | 15cpaid | +216.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0071…32dfbacked Yes | 79c | 3,457$2,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,741 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffb6…92bebacked Yes | 72c | 3,379$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c7…c0e2backed Yes | 53c | 3,367$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.31 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…ff0ebacked Yes | 66c | 3,333$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.78 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes | 46c | 3,309$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.48 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x278c…8b06backed Yes | 46c | 3,296$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x207d…fb1bbacked Yes | 73c | 3,233$2,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,363.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…282fbacked Yes | 15c | 3,200$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…84febacked Yes | 53c | 3,164$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.4 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0c…7a46backed Yes | 62c | 3,153$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…3332backed Yes | 78c | 3,036$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…7dfabacked Yes | 66c | 3,026$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542f…fa52backed Yes | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0408…061dbacked No | 6c | 2,974$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,789.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +319.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…4940backed Yes | 58c | 2,973$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?this page
- Will FIT-U hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No won
- Will HNP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No won
- Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes won
- Will PRO hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No won
- Will SER hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No won
- Will UCR hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.