TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9285…c19d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
642
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Weather, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 54 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST2740.4%1 W · 273 L+0.7wins0.00per pick0cpaid+257.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 274 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$21.3
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$28.57
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.13
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$16.48
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.33
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.86
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.33
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.33
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.33
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.33
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$14.66
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.33
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$18.89
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.33
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.19
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.33
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.33
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.11
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.33
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15.22
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.38
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$23.31
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.26
Showing 25 of 274 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1010%0 W · 101 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.95
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.53
Will Alibaba have the best AI model for coding on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.86
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.75
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.95
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25.52
Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.66
Will Meituan have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
Will Moonshot have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.89
Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.9
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.39
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$28.38
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24.58
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$21.33
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$21.33
Will DeepSeek be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$27.55
Will Z.ai be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12.66
Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.89
Will no company have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.89
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST792.5%2 W · 77 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-96%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $150 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.54
Will Solana dip to $40 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.41
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.62
Will Solana reach $190 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44.72
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$107.68
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$84.02
Will Solana reach $200 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52.02
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$107.77
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43.67
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$72.44
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$58.43
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.92
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$99.63
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$191.13
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$105.55
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$111.1
Will XRP reach $3.40 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.57
Will XRP reach $4.00 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.96
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$116.66
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.38
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.55
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$56.66
Will Solana reach $200 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.76
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.55
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$88.88
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT550%0 W · 55 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Cleverly be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.82
Will Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.81
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.15
Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.91
Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.56
Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.85
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.22
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.05
Will Lê Hoài Trung be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.92
Will Lương Tam Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.93
Will Nguyễn Hòa Bình be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.66
Will Phạm Minh Chính be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.66
Will Phạm Thị Thanh Trà be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.59
Will Lương Cường be the next President of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.43
Will Vesna – Green Party (Vesna) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Will New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Will CR win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Will The Left win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT340%0 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.42
Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.34
Will Paolo Banchero win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.96
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.12
Will Anthony Davis win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.95
Will Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.31
Will Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.55
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.22
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.3
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.19
Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Will LeBron James win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.33
Will Ja Morant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.11
Will Kevin Durant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.93
Will the Sacramento Kings win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Will Scottie Barnes win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.33
Will Jalen Duren win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30.22
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30.22
Will Devin Booker win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.33
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.33
Will Norman Powell win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20.22
Will Nikola Jokić win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$18.89
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30.22
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST180%0 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austria win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
Will Germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.55
Will Canada win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16.66
Will France win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.35
Will Switzerland win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.71
Will Netherlands win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25.55
Will France win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$49.76
Will Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Netherlands win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$21.33
Will China win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.83
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$43.01
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$36.88
Will Sweden win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$48.95
Will Switzerland win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will Japan win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.19
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.13
Will Germany win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40.52
Will Switzerland win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.22
All 18 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST170%0 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$49.99
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$22.22
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.22
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,000 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$60.22
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$19.94
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$23.33
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$13.07
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11.33
Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.94
Will Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.89
Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$56.47
Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.75
Will Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.66
Will Gold close at $2,900-3,000 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.81
Will Gold close at $2,700-2,800 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.26
Will Gold close at $2,800-2,900 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.45
Will Gold close between $4000 and $4100 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.01
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the February Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.55
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.33
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.09
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.64
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.76
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.28
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.11
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.71
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.21
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.67
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST110%0 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.33
Will the U.S. collect between $1t and $2t in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.76
Will Trump’s approval rating be 48.0–49.9% on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.94
Will Trump’s approval rating be 46.0–47.9% on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.47
Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.98
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.58
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.25
Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.56
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.65
Will Trump sign the Reconciliation bill by July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$133.46
Will Trump sign the Reconciliation bill on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.34
All 11 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST80%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BIRDS OF A FEATHER by Billie Eilish be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$17.06
Will Hurry Up Tomorrow by The Weeknd be the top Spotify album for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10.28
Will Ariana Grande be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Billie Eilish be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Ed Sheeran be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will The Weeknd be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Eminem be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$23
All 8 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+127.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST60%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Poker — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.91
Fed rate hike in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$13.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ranger FDV above $60M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$28.55
Over $600M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Meta reach $960 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.