TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana dip to $40 in February?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,046,195
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$805,208

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,046,195 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1af1…7b88backed Yes2c85,786$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.263414.7%5 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick7cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa78a…2f5cbacked Yes3c63,717$2,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,194.31771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.38per pick34cpaid+93.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc747…324bbacked Yes3c47,861$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.746622.7%15 W · 51 L+12.3wins+0.19per pick4cpaid+272.5%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x9285…c19dbacked Yes0c45,406$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.41792.5%2 W · 77 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-96%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ae…51e0backed Yes0c40,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8014019.3%27 W · 113 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+119.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaffb…9e92backed Yes3c36,292$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-56.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes5c32,539$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60014213.4%19 W · 123 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+58.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d54…e1f8backed Yes3c27,309$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.533721.6%8 W · 29 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+1,064.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbace…3429backed Yes9c22,221$1,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,941.491163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+51%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e5c…3036backed Yes1c21,218$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.181022%2 W · 100 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-91.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes5c20,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010313.6%14 W · 89 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb546…640bbacked Yes0c17,252$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.59100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6590…3a26backed Yes0c15,999$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232290%0 W · 229 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes2c12,436$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.131693.6%6 W · 163 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3a7…d045backed Yes0c11,176$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Yes1c10,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140120%0 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes3c9,007$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.696785.9%40 W · 638 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda17…d901backed Yes0c8,718$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.151070%0 W · 107 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Yes1c8,466$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116466.5%3 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick13cpaid-87.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes0c7,200$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.24163.1%13 W · 403 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Yes0c7,000$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214721.3%10 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3526…aababacked Yes3c5,980$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.345425.9%14 W · 40 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick11cpaid+83.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x03fa…02bbbacked Yes1c5,714$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8060%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1087…013bbacked Yes6c5,439$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.653613.9%5 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes1c4,745$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.391490.7%1 W · 148 L-0.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-80.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde93…aefebacked Yes5c4,411$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc9…24dcbacked Yes5c3,643$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.025111.8%6 W · 45 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes3c3,466$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.292683.4%9 W · 259 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-53.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25af…bcafbacked Yes3c3,361$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.863998.5%34 W · 365 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8304…8526backed Yes3c3,089$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081285.5%7 W · 121 L+0.6wins0.00per pick5cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f08…39a7backed Yes1c3,032$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa966…9a90backed Yes1c3,032$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd27…b1dbbacked Yes3c2,839$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.591375.8%8 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7676…f694backed Yes5c2,614$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401346.2%6 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick23cpaid+68.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x47e7…9cc7backed Yes2c2,502$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4830%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f32…3e2cbacked Yes1c2,500$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Yes3c2,480$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.389022.2%20 W · 70 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick13cpaid-28.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad4e…9c71backed Yes3c2,287$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7650%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x209d…43cebacked Yes6c2,254$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.98180%0 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c5d…41b9backed Yes4c2,024$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.681067.5%8 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed Yes5c1,969$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001353.8%7 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.30per pick24cpaid+60.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes1c1,925$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.122417.1%17 W · 224 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+47.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x561c…730cbacked Yes2c1,850$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34160%0 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x675e…cef4backed Yes3c1,735$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-51%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8556…fad9backed Yes5c1,557$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.55137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick24cpaid-89.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Yes2c1,450$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.452581.2%3 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick4cpaid-84%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x252f…4f62backed Yes4c1,441$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.53616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-77.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes2c1,359$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.82985.1%5 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick3cpaid+68.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c1,283$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.261,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66ba…621fbacked Yes3c1,278$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402040%8 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde3d…81dfbacked Yes4c1,200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e66…41e7backed Yes2c1,180$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8180%0 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes3c1,150$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.624211.9%5 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfea2…581ebacked Yes4c1,074$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.026813.2%9 W · 59 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick14cpaid+46.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Yes1c1,071$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-82.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea9…1a13backed Yes1c1,071$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes5c1,024$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.611499.4%14 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick8cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff2a…3319backed Yes2c1,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-61%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes6c990.91$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.12999.4%28 W · 271 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0db6…ed85backed Yes2c884.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x540d…c599backed Yes10c880$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62bd…69dbbacked Yes3c800$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.61717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-42.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Yes11c746.48$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.959041.1%37 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9c4…a051backed Yes2c661.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15306.7%2 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-76.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13b6…c633backed Yes2c622.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.32660%0 W · 66 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c54…1bddbacked Yes6c599.15$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.561010%1 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d39…9175backed Yes3c543.14$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4c5…f231backed Yes3c445.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1690%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b94…fcb6backed Yes10c400.45$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401030%3 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick16cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4896…fe47backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203850%19 W · 19 L+8.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+124.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x1a10…b68bbacked Yes9c400$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.950%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa4a…5a75backed Yes5c370.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20287.1%2 W · 26 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18f4…c58fbacked Yes11c363.84$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3914340.6%58 W · 85 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9121…5f66backed Yes4c333.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1440%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe929…299fbacked Yes3c329.73$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10287.1%2 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+34.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79dc…51b2backed Yes8c323.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25150%0 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b3c…7cd3backed Yes6c298.95$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.043318.2%6 W · 27 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-56.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes9c244.09$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8664812%78 W · 570 L-61.6wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-53.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4b47…af01backed Yes6c234.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+60.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc596…c316backed Yes9c180.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde39…f3b5backed Yes7c177.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.11757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x104d…4a52backed Yes10c145.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.54130%0 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x394c…c87fbacked Yes14c82.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.