TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana reach $120 in February?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$772,455
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$726,919

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $772,455 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd4a…07c0backed Yes15c35,913$5,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,218.6950%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Yes5c25,000$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1501323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick15cpaid-39.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccae…d37abacked Yes1c18,928$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.1520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x620e…621bbacked Yes14c18,131$2,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,452.971315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick15cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed Yes15c12,618$1,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,867.6163835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f5…cbbebacked Yes1c12,023$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.38110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3538…eac8backed No76c11,460$8,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,723.461656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5c…3036backed Yes12c11,190$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.61022%2 W · 100 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-91.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde7a…fa97backed Yes3c10,763$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29480%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes3c9,139$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.456785.9%40 W · 638 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa03…2927backed Yes2c7,733$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17570%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1b2…a321backed Yes36c7,718$2,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,753.7550%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x25dc…e33bbacked No70c7,440$5,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,244.813053.8%70 W · 60 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed No73c7,293$5,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.0737745.9%173 W · 204 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes1c6,883$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.131490.7%1 W · 148 L-0.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-80.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes3c6,500$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.54163.1%13 W · 403 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25af…bcafbacked Yes7c6,361$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.083998.5%34 W · 365 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f1…485cbacked Yes0c6,271$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30130%0 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Yes17c6,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.994721.3%10 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40c2…b2fcbacked Yes4c5,502$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2111566.7%10 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+75.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1cd5…df20backed Yes4c5,095$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ec1…42ccbacked Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c4,377$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.272922.1%6 W · 286 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick1cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes11c4,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440110%0 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Yes39c3,868$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.341650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+38%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5d…f8f2backed Yes40c3,746$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8a9…4afdbacked Yes10c3,660$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid-14.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x868e…5392backed Yes2c3,652$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58170%0 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0066…394fbacked Yes23c3,396$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7786119.7%12 W · 49 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-40.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x09f5…0138backed No64c3,105$1,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.081172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d0e…96ddbacked Yes2c2,920$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6432.3%1 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-92.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb3…2868backed Yes35c2,909$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.54933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+45.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes4c2,877$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1272683.4%9 W · 259 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-53.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bb8…1344backed Yes4c2,767$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes19c2,615$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.5964812%78 W · 570 L-61.6wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-53.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4f7c…d582backed Yes2c2,447$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.18100%0 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes12c2,329$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.634211.9%5 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes4c2,301$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+88.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd27…b1dbbacked Yes6c2,133$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.281375.8%8 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3afb…8050backed Yes2c2,041$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf1b…ee1abacked Yes1c2,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc8d…b8e9backed Yes1c2,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a1c…e455backed Yes46c1,911$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.35540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda6a…4359backed Yes1c1,900$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Yes3c1,898$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.72581.2%3 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick4cpaid-84%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea3b…f989backed Yes1c1,870$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeda…4acbbacked Yes1c1,869$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.611422.1%3 W · 139 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-73.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe80b…7d5fbacked Yes1c1,800$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf108…2ff3backed Yes1c1,800$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0b5…85efbacked Yes17c1,765$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e4…5bbcbacked No72c1,724$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.32657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+76.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd1be…79ecbacked Yes1c1,700$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7285…e263backed Yes1c1,700$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8881…e661backed Yes1c1,650$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2410…64a8backed Yes1c1,650$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8155…9f2dbacked Yes1c1,650$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad24…782cbacked Yes1c1,650$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c1,611$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.621,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2a0…9424backed Yes1c1,600$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f9e…14ebbacked Yes1c1,600$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8304…8526backed Yes6c1,600$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.91285.5%7 W · 121 L+0.6wins0.00per pick5cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c48…056fbacked Yes44c1,591$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee5e…0070backed Yes1c1,500$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc247…6046backed Yes1c1,500$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0225…2735backed Yes34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.991241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick62cpaid-43.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b78…e410backed Yes20c1,497$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick30cpaid-87.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes12c1,494$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.462425%6 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55be…dca3backed No61c1,492$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.3929126.5%77 W · 214 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x917c…66f2backed Yes8c1,405$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.461050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda59…f399backed Yes1c1,400$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9706…8613backed Yes13c1,392$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.271735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-22.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c09…03ecbacked Yes13c1,350$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.561010%1 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb836…9e4ebacked No75c1,334$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.82837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+122.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3761…bb47backed Yes2c1,303$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256615.2%10 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc76a…94c7backed Yes1c1,300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd4a…0d11backed Yes3c1,300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x943b…a8e1backed Yes13c1,296$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.26616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick12cpaid-28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed Yes14c1,270$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.4612020%24 W · 96 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+43.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb58…cf78backed Yes4c1,235$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b15…e717backed Yes1c1,202$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa4a…5a75backed Yes2c1,194$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24287.1%2 W · 26 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9040…46edbacked Yes17c1,176$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes4c1,171$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.26160%0 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda83…beb8backed Yes44c1,137$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7265…e943backed Yes15c1,126$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.661136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+96.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4949…6aeebacked Yes1c1,121$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1060%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5449…992bbacked Yes1c1,102$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-83.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83e8…7b89backed Yes2c1,095$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.13514.3%5 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-77.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c32…884dbacked Yes5c1,061$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5f2…2230backed Yes2c1,059$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x615e…5295backed Yes2c1,059$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.882270.9%2 W · 225 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4768…9117backed Yes18c1,058$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.59650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes2c1,044$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.52985.1%5 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick3cpaid+68.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2138…8a11backed Yes14c1,008$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-65.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x702c…0801backed Yes15c1,004$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-51.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes2c1,000$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24590%0 W · 59 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc2…2f88backed Yes1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13320%0 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x083c…f78cbacked Yes3c970.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9270%0 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…de36backed Yes11c944.76$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.681947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+97.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf4fd…b717backed Yes22c909.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.