Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $50 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8d2b3e5257248c18cf7ee917668503224ff046d330ea38a7e356b2056bd944e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $944,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $803,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $944,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3526…aababacked Yes | 9c | 42,670$3,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,767.42 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 11cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 3c | 36,207$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.65 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d54…e1f8backed Yes | 2c | 34,340$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.19 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +1,064.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc747…324bbacked Yes | 6c | 32,474$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.18 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +12.3wins | +0.19per pick | 4cpaid | +272.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 2c | 27,207$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.42 | 102 | 2%2 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 9c | 26,060$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,291 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 8c | 20,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaffb…9e92backed Yes | 6c | 17,957$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…3429backed Yes | 19c | 15,937$3,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100.83 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 15,100$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.6 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1087…013bbacked Yes | 3c | 14,380$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.77 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0067…3d12backed Yes | 0c | 12,690$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 7c | 11,402$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.32 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328c…cbbcbacked Yes | 9c | 11,212$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…fad2backed Yes | 0c | 11,037$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 10,092$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.27 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…3480backed Yes | 3c | 9,575$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.76 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 2c | 7,885$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.57 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…ef34backed Yes | 9c | 7,498$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +431.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 6,670$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…640bbacked Yes | 0c | 6,662$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…829fbacked Yes | 0c | 6,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 5,967$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…5c57backed Yes | 12c | 5,556$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 17cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 5,516$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 292 | 2.1%6 W · 286 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x687b…f8a7backed Yes | 4c | 5,405$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +215%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc90d…9808backed Yes | 2c | 5,365$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x620e…621bbacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c2…89abbacked Yes | 1c | 4,898$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -63%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…c312backed Yes | 2c | 4,590$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 4c | 4,530$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.48 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…d56ebacked Yes | 4c | 4,328$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.02 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf179…a4e9backed Yes | 8c | 4,161$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 9cpaid | +158.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…bb47backed Yes | 3c | 3,785$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.59 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e7…9cc7backed Yes | 4c | 3,688$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 4c | 3,203$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.8 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209d…43cebacked Yes | 11c | 3,134$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.89 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 6c | 2,968$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.42 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 2,926$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.38 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 1c | 2,900$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 11c | 2,891$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.95 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…b1dbbacked Yes | 5c | 2,740$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.92 | 137 | 5.8%8 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 2c | 2,610$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…8526backed Yes | 5c | 2,157$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.38 | 128 | 5.5%7 W · 121 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x195e…1ac1backed Yes | 1c | 2,099$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483e…4a9cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…4acbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,983$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 142 | 2.1%3 W · 139 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 3c | 1,924$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 2c | 1,810$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 66 | 0%0 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…fbc2backed Yes | 3c | 1,783$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf562…4099backed Yes | 1c | 1,780$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 9c | 1,759$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.61 | 149 | 9.4%14 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Yes | 5c | 1,708$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.49 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 1c | 1,682$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e3…58edbacked Yes | 18c | 1,508$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.38 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +535.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…7112backed Yes | 3c | 1,426$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6810…38a3backed Yes | 12c | 1,400$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.7 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…635dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,390$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 8c | 1,384$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.72 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,342$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9451…c3f9backed Yes | 17c | 1,308$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…f694backed Yes | 11c | 1,245$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 23cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,216$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.52 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4938…ce0cbacked No | 79c | 1,200$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 2c | 1,183$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 98 | 5.1%5 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 19c | 1,168$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.77 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34d6…df14backed Yes | 7c | 1,132$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…41b9backed Yes | 5c | 1,106$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 106 | 7.5%8 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…f231backed Yes | 5c | 1,080$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4a…5a75backed Yes | 6c | 1,061$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14a…df2abacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02af…a5adbacked Yes | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Yes | 8c | 993.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c08…1ff6backed Yes | 10c | 990.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 3c | 937.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 7c | 844.73$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…5e39backed Yes | 2c | 830.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224c…ee07backed Yes | 12c | 826.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc9…24dcbacked Yes | 6c | 794.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcda…edfebacked Yes | 9c | 774$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Yes | 3c | 750$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62bd…69dbbacked Yes | 7c | 697.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4896…fe47backed Yes | 4c | 690.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +8.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…6984backed Yes | 5c | 627.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…f78cbacked Yes | 3c | 612.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c54…1bddbacked Yes | 3c | 606.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48c8…72a4backed Yes | 3c | 600.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ea…533fbacked Yes | 5c | 592.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +801.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf998…1f41backed Yes | 8c | 590$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa698…9a8abacked Yes | 7c | 566$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0db6…ed85backed Yes | 4c | 547.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…7528backed Yes | 2c | 542.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe74e…f676backed Yes | 3c | 534.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…3319backed Yes | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -61%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x104d…4a52backed Yes | 11c | 497.59$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x338d…6d82backed Yes | 6c | 495.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…89b4backed Yes | 3c | 477.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $50 in February?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in February?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $20 in February?No won
- Will Solana dip to $30 in February?No won
- Will Solana dip to $40 in February?No won
- Will Solana dip to $60 in February?No won
- Will Solana dip to $70 in February?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $80 in February?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $90 in February?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $120 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $130 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $140 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $150 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $160 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $170 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $180 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $190 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $200 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.