TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0e5c…3036

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
191
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Middle East, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 51 out of 100; worst China Taiwan at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1022%2 W · 100 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-91.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 102 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.52
Will Solana dip to $70 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$264
Will Solana reach $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.99
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$652Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$652
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$899.6
Will Solana reach $100 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.03
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$395.36
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.19
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$263
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.08
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$827Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$826.59
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$409.31
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$512.7
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.98
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$397
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.07
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.59
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$256
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$604Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$603.61
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$258
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.8
Showing 25 of 102 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT214.8%1 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick5cpaid-49%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$965Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$964.6
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+970.9%+$3,490.48
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$649Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$649
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$681Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$681.4
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$597Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$597.01
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$837Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$837
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$416
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.8
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.78
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$456.99
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,081Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,080.59
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$325
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$310
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$775Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$775
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$299.52
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,139Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,138.7
Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$160
All 21 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2010%2 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-51.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.87
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$513.15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.01
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$394.05
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.43
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$468
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.92
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$669Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$668.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,179Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,179
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$637Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$637.01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$551.8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$466.3
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$265
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$262
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$261
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+415.9%+$2,152.5
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT160%0 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.39
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$394.51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$578.03
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,168.67
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$804Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$804.07
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,548Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,547.83
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,188Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,187.9
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$747Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$746.59
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,544Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,544.18
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,301Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,301.13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,018Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,018
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,141
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,832Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,831.99
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$132
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+861.5%+$89.6
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$335.6
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$323
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$672Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$672
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$587Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$586.99
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$464
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$607Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$607
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,651Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,650.83
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$154
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
First Blood in Game 2?backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$320.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.02
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.