TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,346,833
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,844,789

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,346,833 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe02c…5d08backed Yes0c582,264$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.682025%5 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes0c519,790$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.981315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-52.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0a2d…e614backed Yes0c393,136$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.86205%1 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-68.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes0c316,033$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.810419.2%20 W · 84 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+41.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes0c288,345$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.6911916.8%20 W · 99 L-0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e5c…3036backed Yes0c277,000$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775214.8%1 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick5cpaid-49%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes0c269,963$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.1313048.5%63 W · 67 L+11.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x593f…9f89backed Yes0c216,666$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400303.3%1 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes0c201,719$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.246817.6%12 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid+23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb014…b3fabacked Yes0c198,735$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.472313%3 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes0c175,400$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.25512.7%7 W · 48 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9220…e3bcbacked Yes0c141,513$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6683…80e3backed Yes0c141,513$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc257…b67fbacked Yes0c141,513$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb060…e778backed Yes0c141,513$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes0c130,844$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.382828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-37.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40c5…5cbabacked Yes0c129,578$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.1940%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cbf…70a1backed Yes1c122,915$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.08633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c113,995$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.45303.3%1 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-83.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4b8…ba77backed Yes0c107,182$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.19160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00b7…2138backed Yes0c92,557$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe31…fc7fbacked Yes0c91,357$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc790…c91abacked Yes1c90,663$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1440…424fbacked Yes1c89,211$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf041…034abacked Yes0c78,642$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.49150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9809…108fbacked Yes0c77,246$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.07160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0d5…6240backed Yes0c75,445$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.25160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeabe…43dcbacked Yes0c75,333$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6084…b21bbacked Yes0c75,094$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.02160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6254…08b6backed Yes0c73,426$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.01150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4138…2a24backed Yes0c68,848$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8570%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8182…3732backed Yes0c68,204$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.67160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7471…a6dabacked Yes0c67,505$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.82160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5488…4a9ebacked Yes0c65,855$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.56150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228c…d770backed Yes0c64,353$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.33150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc76d…2c25backed Yes0c63,520$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.22160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb194…40e1backed Yes0c61,181$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.72130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d5d…4e3fbacked Yes0c60,157$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0483…483bbacked Yes0c60,157$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39ba…f38bbacked Yes0c60,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad6b…3681backed Yes0c59,203$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.52160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5837…e66ebacked Yes0c58,117$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e65…6c95backed Yes0c56,157$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.04160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a5…6112backed Yes0c55,552$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.54160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb41a…3a25backed Yes0c54,898$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.69166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick1cpaid+212.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb540…b343backed Yes0c51,369$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.11313.2%1 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-77%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9175…41b2backed Yes0c50,735$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.38130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f8c…d699backed Yes0c50,449$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.81160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cc2…afcdbacked Yes0c50,033$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b9d…95d9backed Yes0c46,764$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.52150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd936…9af9backed Yes0c45,274$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.28160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes0c45,000$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135254%1 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-64.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb8…3acbbacked Yes0c43,691$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.76160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9126…fb8cbacked Yes0c43,612$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.5690%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb29f…b308backed Yes0c42,991$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.99140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25fa…7af0backed Yes0c42,450$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.76120%0 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98bb…e491backed Yes0c41,440$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.0590%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b40…a79ebacked Yes0c41,248$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.78120%0 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes1c40,551$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.079230.4%28 W · 64 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c00…cddfbacked Yes0c39,999$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4060%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbea…51bbbacked Yes0c39,698$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.5160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9a3…6c97backed Yes0c39,526$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.32120%0 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x836f…d53abacked Yes0c38,973$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6565…2c02backed Yes0c38,872$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.491816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-58.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71ea…5800backed Yes1c38,426$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.68130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bb…50dcbacked Yes0c38,000$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…be74backed Yes0c35,800$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0744…9499backed Yes1c35,324$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.4590%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb50c…46c7backed Yes0c35,186$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.9140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79d3…891ebacked Yes0c35,109$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.08150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba0e…5cebbacked Yes0c34,970$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.85616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-75%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76d2…6bfcbacked Yes0c34,404$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.450%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ceb…0f9ebacked Yes0c34,309$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.93150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes0c34,096$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.295939%23 W · 36 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35e5…0f52backed Yes0c33,644$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.780%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda09…4852backed Yes0c33,396$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.45160%0 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46a4…fa19backed Yes0c33,332$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001010%1 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick4cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x689b…d7cbbacked Yes0c33,107$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x050f…6b27backed Yes0c32,500$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5205%1 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-50%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28c8…708ebacked Yes1c32,147$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.0890%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceeb…e1b7backed Yes0c32,048$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1390%0 W · 9 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd608…fcd1backed Yes0c31,364$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9390%0 W · 9 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d57…3015backed Yes0c31,000$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65220%0 W · 22 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23d2…034bbacked Yes0c30,837$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.02150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2935…96f7backed Yes0c30,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9070%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ca9…558dbacked Yes0c29,739$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.39140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e6…ae34backed Yes1c28,637$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.8290%0 W · 9 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x155c…8e6fbacked Yes1c28,488$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1115…83f5backed Yes0c26,246$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.82140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7874…2767backed Yes0c26,000$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c2f…d7fbbacked Yes0c25,099$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22e7…6602backed Yes0c25,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e59…aa0dbacked Yes1c25,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71d8…2643backed Yes0c24,225$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7590%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x159a…27c7backed Yes0c23,742$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.480%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3b…5eafbacked Yes0c23,568$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9990%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9629…b148backed Yes0c20,969$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8970%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6f0…f19fbacked Yes1c20,935$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.48850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4828…b63bbacked Yes0c20,086$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.26100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Yes0c20,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603122.6%7 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.