TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,892,076
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,362,295

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,892,076 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x593f…9f89backed Yes0c1,279,882$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.62303.3%1 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb41a…3a25backed Yes0c446,741$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.22166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick1cpaid+212.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x115d…f608backed Yes0c258,500$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.5812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick5cpaid-70.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c254,994$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.99303.3%1 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-83.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c9a…a047backed Yes0c250,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1712…5d11backed Yes0c157,242$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4138…2a24backed Yes0c136,000$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13670%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb540…b343backed Yes0c133,333$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400313.2%1 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-77%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes0c124,999$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010419.2%20 W · 84 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+41.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes0c93,538$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.716817.6%12 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid+23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes0c90,911$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.5511916.8%20 W · 99 L-0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes0c75,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1305512.7%7 W · 48 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c67,111$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.3712921.7%28 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a2d…e614backed Yes0c58,779$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.34205%1 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-68.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Yes0c57,062$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2850%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4b8…ba77backed Yes0c47,852$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.56160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf308…00e6backed Yes0c47,450$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6755…8972backed Yes0c47,370$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.74450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aed…46fabacked Yes0c40,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c5a…784ebacked Yes0c40,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes0c40,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402520%5 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-31.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228c…d770backed Yes0c40,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked Yes0c39,799$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.82227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd936…9af9backed Yes0c38,534$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.64160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f8c…d699backed Yes0c34,981$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.94160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x484d…dd20backed Yes0c33,889$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.67520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid-65.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05c5…1d0abacked Yes0c33,667$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf041…034abacked Yes0c30,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a5…6112backed Yes0c30,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7471…a6dabacked Yes0c30,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8182…3732backed Yes0c30,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc76d…2c25backed Yes0c30,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e65…6c95backed Yes0c29,995$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.99160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6084…b21bbacked Yes0c27,557$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.99160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x291c…90c0backed Yes0c26,264$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.06128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick2cpaid-35.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ceb…0f9ebacked Yes0c26,094$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.28150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd56f…06dabacked Yes0c26,000$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5488…4a9ebacked Yes0c25,547$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.64150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes0c24,000$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9917322%38 W · 135 L-0.4wins0.00per pick22cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d4d…bef1backed Yes0c23,220$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad6b…3681backed Yes0c22,974$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.97160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb042…998ebacked Yes0c22,646$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.58128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick20cpaid-84.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda09…4852backed Yes0c22,264$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.26160%0 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0d5…6240backed Yes0c21,856$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.53160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4af4…ccc4backed Yes0c21,785$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb8…3acbbacked Yes0c21,011$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.03160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes0c21,001$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-78.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6254…08b6backed Yes0c20,926$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.78150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4220…b128backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27d7…760fbacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78f0…e4cabacked Yes0c20,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+229.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbea…51bbbacked Yes0c19,738$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.74160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeabe…43dcbacked Yes0c19,466$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a8f…9f2ebacked Yes0c17,778$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaac5…c0c2backed Yes0c17,470$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe860…cdaabacked Yes1c17,217$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.984639.1%18 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes0c16,910$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.91128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-88.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x355c…4257backed Yes0c16,812$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa62e…fce0backed Yes0c14,810$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29d7…6d0fbacked Yes0c14,427$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e7f…b10bbacked Yes0c13,500$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51dc…c925backed Yes0c13,450$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9809…108fbacked Yes0c13,263$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.53160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cb8…c276backed Yes0c12,975$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa52e…aa72backed Yes0c12,593$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd552…4c66backed Yes0c12,475$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b17…7990backed Yes0c12,452$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c2f…d7fbbacked Yes0c12,430$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.29130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb9b…698dbacked Yes0c12,225$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x764b…e221backed Yes0c12,200$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d57…3015backed Yes0c12,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14220%0 W · 22 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd19…8280backed Yes0c11,500$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5e0…aaa4backed Yes0c11,325$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bfe…97d8backed Yes0c11,133$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1350%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79d3…891ebacked Yes0c11,123$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.12150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ccd…f099backed Yes0c10,700$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8673…92debacked Yes0c10,124$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1260%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1115…83f5backed Yes0c10,111$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.11140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4828…b63bbacked Yes0c10,043$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.04100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51d1…7438backed Yes0c10,023$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.02150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…02a5backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe257…d60fbacked Yes0c10,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40210%0 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf3a…e41fbacked Yes0c10,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3060%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11fb…c99abacked Yes0c10,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick2cpaid+594.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x705d…f3a9backed Yes0c9,500$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.86119.7%12 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd281…d750backed Yes1c9,100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1ef…75f2backed Yes0c8,667$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-85.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0096…66c1backed Yes0c8,440$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90be…6224backed Yes0c7,788$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d9e…3a2ebacked Yes0c7,706$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1270%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe91…06f1backed Yes0c7,410$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1810…c814backed Yes1c7,000$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe72d…6424backed Yes0c6,875$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0e3…e146backed Yes0c6,374$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef5d…571ebacked Yes0c5,918$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e93…e426backed Yes0c5,783$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6881…2633backed Yes0c5,605$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad29…9b05backed Yes0c5,338$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b2c…f488backed Yes0c5,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201612.5%2 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick6cpaid+131.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4659…a345backed Yes0c5,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.