TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Ajax win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,373,491
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,157,203

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,373,491 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x115d…f608backed Yes0c1,672,068$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,672.07812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick5cpaid-70.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x593f…9f89backed Yes0c1,564,924$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,564.92303.3%1 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7cd…89a3backed Yes0c1,046,384$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39ba…f38bbacked Yes0c407,895$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.9550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd469…db7cbacked Yes0c402,000$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22e7…6602backed Yes0c370,541$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.6250%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c314,266$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.27303.3%1 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-83.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0739…8f90backed Yes0c301,683$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.68150%0 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05a9…7175backed Yes0c263,077$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.0820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4138…2a24backed Yes0c255,691$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.6970%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes0c211,175$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.3510419.2%20 W · 84 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+41.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4947…eeafbacked Yes0c168,183$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1655…de52backed Yes0c148,239$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.6220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes0c138,000$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1846817.6%12 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid+23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb540…b343backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100313.2%1 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-77%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes0c76,000$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7611916.8%20 W · 99 L-0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ac…0395backed Yes0c75,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3dd…40c5backed Yes0c75,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6254…08b6backed Yes0c72,316$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.32150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff47…d81fbacked Yes0c71,487$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb194…40e1backed Yes0c69,974$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.97130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c65,469$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.8612921.7%28 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf041…034abacked Yes0c65,103$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9809…108fbacked Yes0c60,264$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.26160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad6b…3681backed Yes0c60,061$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.06160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228c…d770backed Yes0c60,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f2…39f2backed Yes0c60,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ca9…558dbacked Yes0c58,352$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.18140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c00…cddfbacked Yes0c56,062$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0660%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6084…b21bbacked Yes0c51,802$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f8c…d699backed Yes0c50,026$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.08160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec1a…3501backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8182…3732backed Yes0c50,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a5…6112backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5488…4a9ebacked Yes0c50,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5070%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0d5…6240backed Yes0c49,848$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.85160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3065…1c02backed Yes0c49,333$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb8…3acbbacked Yes0c48,950$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.95160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76d2…6bfcbacked Yes0c47,125$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1250%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc76d…2c25backed Yes0c45,937$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.94160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4b8…ba77backed Yes0c45,000$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7471…a6dabacked Yes0c42,772$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.77160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cdf…5bc1backed Yes0c40,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb29f…b308backed Yes0c40,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23d2…034bbacked Yes0c40,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a35…bc95backed Yes0c40,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeabe…43dcbacked Yes0c39,296$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eee…5b68backed Yes0c38,376$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b17…7990backed Yes0c37,356$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6565…2c02backed Yes0c36,395$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.391816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-58.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda09…4852backed Yes0c33,396$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.92160%0 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0274…307bbacked Yes0c32,000$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick3cpaid+374.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58fd…43a6backed Yes0c31,000$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd936…9af9backed Yes0c30,561$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.56160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c2f…d7fbbacked Yes0c30,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305512.7%7 W · 48 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ceb…0f9ebacked Yes0c29,997$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb042…998ebacked Yes0c29,544$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.63128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick20cpaid-84.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbea…51bbbacked Yes0c29,476$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.48160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79d3…891ebacked Yes0c22,246$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.25150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…02a5backed Yes0c20,750$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.75130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1115…83f5backed Yes0c20,222$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.44140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4828…b63bbacked Yes0c20,086$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.17100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-88.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf78…ffc5backed Yes0c20,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60180%0 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1aa…854abacked Yes0c20,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e65…6c95backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a81…58b0backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb50c…46c7backed Yes0c18,062$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.06140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c17,091$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81422.4%1 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick0cpaid+138.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98d2…9d5cbacked Yes0c16,944$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.94150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd281…d750backed Yes0c16,472$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfccc…10c2backed Yes0c15,640$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.92130%0 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cbd…4ef3backed Yes0c15,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5efb…c22abacked Yes0c14,168$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.34140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ac5…928dbacked Yes0c12,563$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d8…7750backed Yes0c12,544$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.09150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3160…c652backed Yes0c12,512$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aa0…41ffbacked Yes0c12,360$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b9d…95d9backed Yes0c12,311$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.31150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8544…3abebacked Yes0c11,249$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bfe…97d8backed Yes0c11,133$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.450%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdefe…e5e3backed Yes0c11,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d57…3015backed Yes0c11,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15220%0 W · 22 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes0c10,454$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.451711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-78.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf728…6552backed Yes0c10,321$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3260%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71ea…5800backed Yes0c10,043$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.04130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51d1…7438backed Yes0c10,023$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.02150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd36a…ecf5backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf061…906cbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f3d…da0ebacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick2cpaid+338.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6261…e04dbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb273…f1a1backed Yes0c10,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30130%0 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb140…937ebacked Yes0c7,008$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ab…b9a4backed Yes0c6,048$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x241f…ef50backed Yes0c5,120$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.48333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick16cpaid-27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62c0…1f4dbacked Yes0c5,005$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e27…16e5backed Yes0c5,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea8e…3de0backed Yes0c5,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.33520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick9cpaid-51.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.