TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Marseille win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,842,226
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,986,800

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,842,226 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes1c476,841$2,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,402.1311916.8%20 W · 99 L-0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17c0…c49bbacked Yes0c206,775$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.981118.2%2 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick4cpaid+404.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes0c189,329$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.910419.2%20 W · 84 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+41.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c172,621$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.8612921.7%28 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a2d…e614backed Yes1c150,790$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.95205%1 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-68.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes0c140,763$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.595512.7%7 W · 48 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed Yes0c119,602$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.541717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc988…dd79backed Yes0c95,195$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Yes1c86,138$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.833647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7d…78e4backed Yes0c83,785$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.71110%0 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x76d2…6bfcbacked Yes0c83,123$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.3750%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeabe…43dcbacked Yes1c72,972$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.86160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes0c71,564$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.1313048.5%63 W · 67 L+11.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes0c68,471$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.0817322%38 W · 135 L-0.4wins0.00per pick22cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes1c64,939$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.756817.6%12 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid+23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4b8…ba77backed Yes1c60,000$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes1c60,000$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324254%1 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-64.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf041…034abacked Yes0c56,459$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.56150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31b8…2f86backed Yes1c55,892$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8182…3732backed Yes0c55,371$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.23160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc76d…2c25backed Yes1c52,647$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.46160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9809…108fbacked Yes1c50,856$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.28160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x112d…f54dbacked Yes0c44,750$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd936…9af9backed Yes1c44,640$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.2160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a5…6112backed Yes1c43,714$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.57160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e65…6c95backed Yes1c42,065$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.33160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb8…3acbbacked Yes0c41,850$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.15160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6254…08b6backed Yes1c40,758$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.2150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e8d…3eeabacked Yes1c40,214$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.711118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-69.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ceb…0f9ebacked Yes1c40,001$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.76150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5488…4a9ebacked Yes1c40,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228c…d770backed Yes1c38,983$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.12150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes0c38,800$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-68.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89dc…1390backed Yes0c37,287$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes0c37,073$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.3618334.4%63 W · 120 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb29f…b308backed Yes1c36,688$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.51140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaae7…0103backed Yes1c33,574$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x883e…31dfbacked Yes1c33,554$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335100%0 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05a9…7175backed Yes0c33,234$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes1c32,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.239842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…02a5backed Yes0c30,239$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.44130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f8c…d699backed Yes0c30,169$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.84160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb194…40e1backed Yes0c30,104$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.62130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c2f…d7fbbacked Yes1c30,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8fa…9d99backed Yes1c29,134$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23d2…034bbacked Yes0c26,242$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.41150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad6b…3681backed Yes1c25,684$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.42160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Yes0c25,233$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9350%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46a4…fa19backed Yes0c25,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001010%1 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick4cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbea…51bbbacked Yes0c23,620$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.15160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6084…b21bbacked Yes1c22,867$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.57160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c22,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110303.3%1 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-83.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7471…a6dabacked Yes1c21,519$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.77160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0d5…6240backed Yes1c21,280$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.98160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes0c20,933$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.73458.9%4 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-47.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ab…ff89backed Yes1c20,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick28cpaid-33.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x050f…6b27backed Yes1c18,928$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.64205%1 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-50%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x291c…90c0backed Yes0c18,871$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.48128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick2cpaid-35.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc474…d697backed Yes0c17,023$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.96333%1 W · 32 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-75.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e16…41f8backed Yes1c15,932$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-73.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c6…6ca4backed Yes1c14,435$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5efb…c22abacked Yes0c14,168$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.76140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda09…4852backed Yes1c13,387$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.94160%0 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98d2…9d5cbacked Yes1c13,096$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.51150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b9d…95d9backed Yes1c12,970$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.02150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d9e…3a2ebacked Yes0c12,535$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6970%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf2c…1494backed Yes1c12,144$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.15258%2 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick4cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79d3…891ebacked Yes1c11,123$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.62150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9175…41b2backed Yes0c10,147$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.59130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71ea…5800backed Yes0c10,043$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.17130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51d1…7438backed Yes0c10,023$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.09150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5716…203abacked Yes1c10,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80130%0 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ca9…558dbacked Yes1c9,913$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.57140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9a3…6c97backed Yes0c9,783$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.13120%0 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d8…7750backed Yes1c9,496$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.71150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd79…085cbacked Yes1c9,478$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3160…c652backed Yes0c9,310$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.62120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb50c…46c7backed Yes1c9,031$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.19140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25fa…7af0backed Yes1c8,490$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.94120%0 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d57…3015backed Yes0c8,000$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37220%0 W · 22 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b40…a79ebacked Yes1c7,963$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.78120%0 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6565…2c02backed Yes0c7,500$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.51816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-58.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x899d…c30dbacked Yes1c7,492$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.46140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7543…1852backed Yes1c7,150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.051435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick22cpaid+97.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1ef…75f2backed Yes1c7,000$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-85.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8404…6cefbacked Yes1c6,800$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb540…b343backed Yes1c6,759$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.31313.2%1 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-77%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes1c6,632$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3911947.9%57 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+55%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb573…5224backed Yes1c6,400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a45…7fb4backed Yes0c6,338$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x462c…447cbacked Yes1c6,231$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d63…1344backed Yes1c6,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2497…e329backed Yes1c6,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf62b…6600backed Yes1c6,000$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick3cpaid+299.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe91f…1ff2backed Yes1c5,900$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd55…c4a4backed Yes0c5,875$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f96…a330backed Yes1c5,833$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0755…cc5abacked Yes1c5,780$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5af3…462bbacked Yes1c5,760$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eb6…b3b4backed Yes1c5,754$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.