TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x76d2…6bfc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.88
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 2 Winnerbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+72.2%+$124.12
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 1 Winnerbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+52%+$70.03
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 1 Winnerbacked Saigon Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.54
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winnerbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$32.81
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$64.69
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+82%+$16.83
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.72
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+83%+$92.74
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$592Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$591.77
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$28.63
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.77
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$52.14
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winnerbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$357.6
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.08
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$644Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$643.6
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winnerbacked HMBLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.37
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winnerbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,271.87
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs GOAL - Game 2 Winnerbacked GOAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.86
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,290Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$591.64
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.34
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 3 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.86
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$638Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$265.04
All 25 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-86.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.28
Epstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.33
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$177.48
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.42
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10.42
Will the government shutdown end November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$23.35
Will the government shutdown end November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$13.32
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$139.12
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$12.62
Will the government shutdown end November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$38.56
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-82.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the assassination of Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched news on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+56.3%+$12.75
Will Sam Altman be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$11.44
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$18.62
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$172.2
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$185.75
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$85.38
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$159.1
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$97.65
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$33.64
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-51.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick4cpaid+203%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-54.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-56.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PAOK win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.09
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. KRC Genk end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+37%+$4.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.38
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$307.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: NAVI Junior vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Playoffsbacked NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$30.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$14.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Fateh Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BGC Group (BGC) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+37%+$4.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+29.9%+$8.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$227.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$217.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,293Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,293.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.