TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: NAVI Junior vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NAVI Juniorof NAVI Junior, UCAM Esports Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,441
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,268

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,441 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x65c1…2988backed NAVI Junior35c8,091$2,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,295.9525554.9%140 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcadf…1f60backed UCAM Esports Club66c7,609$4,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,986.982867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked UCAM Esports Club29c3,626$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.11,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed UCAM Esports Club26c3,409$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.5232462.7%203 W · 121 L+31.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0a1c…b465backed UCAM Esports Club66c2,273$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.173770.3%26 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed UCAM Esports Club28c1,810$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.0446326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a7f…7603backed NAVI Junior34c1,677$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.82666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+59.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked UCAM Esports Club30c1,596$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.971,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked NAVI Junior34c1,587$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.126946.4%32 W · 37 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed NAVI Junior73c1,429$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.2852155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa5e…1468backed NAVI Junior34c1,413$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.711338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb835…2e51backed NAVI Junior34c1,390$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.411163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+28.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked UCAM Esports Club28c1,250$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.4277744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26e3…0b75backed NAVI Junior34c1,180$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.810551.4%54 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked UCAM Esports Club30c1,113$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.417353.8%93 W · 80 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked UCAM Esports Club23c1,069$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.491533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked UCAM Esports Club28c1,032$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.6857151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa390…c7d9backed UCAM Esports Club29c1,023$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.637920.3%16 W · 63 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed NAVI Junior34c1,014$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.0841537.1%154 W · 261 L-26.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b26…6091backed UCAM Esports Club31c908.94$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.291513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-69.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed UCAM Esports Club26c898$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.919337.8%73 W · 120 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked UCAM Esports Club66c764.81$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.424846%114 W · 134 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed NAVI Junior69c708.44$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.6254342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked UCAM Esports Club29c616.7$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.846259.7%37 W · 25 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed UCAM Esports Club30c616.7$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.014348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed UCAM Esports Club29c610$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.99737.1%36 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2469…4812backed UCAM Esports Club38c522.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7196…73d9backed UCAM Esports Club29c517.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked NAVI Junior63c510$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.7435142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed UCAM Esports Club54c500$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.8724250.4%122 W · 120 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa941…dc9ebacked NAVI Junior35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+77%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed UCAM Esports Club67c499.99$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.995160.8%31 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7673…fa40backed NAVI Junior34c494.12$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.121747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed UCAM Esports Club66c450$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.7527145%122 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed NAVI Junior34c423.99$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.831540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcac4…d1acbacked NAVI Junior34c416.32$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.77944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc64…fc2bbacked NAVI Junior35c400.74$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.4818653.8%100 W · 86 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0593…9712backed UCAM Esports Club28c388.59$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7815973%116 W · 43 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x69f2…a80dbacked UCAM Esports Club66c380.15$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506668.2%45 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2690…4089backed UCAM Esports Club25c350$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked UCAM Esports Club67c321$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.0712850%64 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked NAVI Junior34c312$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.921346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed NAVI Junior40c305.1$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.7143059.8%257 W · 173 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked NAVI Junior38c304$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.186747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed UCAM Esports Club67c292.82$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.199041.1%37 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked UCAM Esports Club19c284.89$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5115833.5%53 W · 105 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed UCAM Esports Club37c255.63$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6414047.9%67 W · 73 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8248…c0b2backed UCAM Esports Club60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24dc…25abbacked NAVI Junior34c241.18$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.182437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed NAVI Junior34c239.74$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.235459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd766…24e6backed UCAM Esports Club62c237.63$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.482951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked NAVI Junior35c232.57$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.1728747.4%136 W · 151 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed UCAM Esports Club29c230.08$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2222344.4%99 W · 124 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked NAVI Junior34c230$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.82433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed UCAM Esports Club24c225.45$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1356551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked UCAM Esports Club30c222$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.654439.9%217 W · 327 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed UCAM Esports Club22c215.89$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.081,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9734…bfd8backed NAVI Junior34c214.71$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.7119257.8%111 W · 81 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7004…a778backed UCAM Esports Club63c209.07$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.711450%7 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked UCAM Esports Club40c205.84$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2660154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed NAVI Junior34c200.03$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.0215843%68 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed NAVI Junior34c197.06$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.0611843.2%51 W · 67 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed NAVI Junior34c196.71$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.8312138.8%47 W · 74 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked UCAM Esports Club29c193$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.971,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed NAVI Junior34c187.55$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.7841734.8%145 W · 272 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked NAVI Junior33c180$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.0334443.3%149 W · 195 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf9b…2013backed NAVI Junior37c168.21$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.1918735.3%66 W · 121 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed UCAM Esports Club25c163.59$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7137545.6%171 W · 204 L-1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed UCAM Esports Club59c158$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2219040%76 W · 114 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed NAVI Junior52c153.15$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7463652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8da6…107abacked UCAM Esports Club67c151.88$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed UCAM Esports Club66c135.71$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6122955%126 W · 103 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed UCAM Esports Club28c129.44$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.245048%24 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27c7…7c43backed NAVI Junior41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.952100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+102.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed UCAM Esports Club49c119.96$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.782646.2%12 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+37.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x767f…533dbacked NAVI Junior34c117.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.65837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked UCAM Esports Club18c115.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.211,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked UCAM Esports Club30c113.3$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.451,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed NAVI Junior34c109.8$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.8444342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f4…59eabacked UCAM Esports Club10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103228.1%9 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick17cpaid+88.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed NAVI Junior38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed UCAM Esports Club30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.523733.8%80 W · 157 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked UCAM Esports Club58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.784838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed UCAM Esports Club32c95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4877929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed UCAM Esports Club29c94$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.342540.5%172 W · 253 L-22.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fca…e8edbacked UCAM Esports Club29c90$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.11323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-50.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9e4…7161backed UCAM Esports Club29c82.48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.572015%3 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick32cpaid-65.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked NAVI Junior48c82.28$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.016038.3%23 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddbd…bcb5backed UCAM Esports Club27c80.75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.776426.6%17 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x53bc…1373backed NAVI Junior76c79.3$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed UCAM Esports Club33c76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.222542.7%96 W · 129 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed NAVI Junior34c75$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.513848.6%67 W · 71 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked UCAM Esports Club21c72.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.256053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76bb…4548backed NAVI Junior76c66.18$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.186762.7%42 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa02…8b07backed NAVI Junior48c62.16$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.166852.9%36 W · 32 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked NAVI Junior73c55$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1510975.2%82 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe58e…2ee8backed NAVI Junior34c54.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.971145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed UCAM Esports Club42c51.54$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.61,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x62d6…54e8backed UCAM Esports Club61c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.51947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed UCAM Esports Club29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.54346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.