TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3a7f…7603

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Valorant, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT2433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$707Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$707.4
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,739Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$6,542.17
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 3 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,343Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,343.39
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,634Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,633.74
Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+2.5)backed Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,050
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$80
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$93.5
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 3 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+89.4%+$34.21
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$23.46
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$322.34
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$433.45
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$732Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$731.6
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$395
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,727Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,727
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+400%+$76
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.55
LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - LFL Playoffsbacked TLN Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$576.32
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,048Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,048.08
LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - LFL Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.86
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winnerbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.76
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$9,283Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,282.99
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$545.7
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.15
All 24 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.4wins-0.26per pick50cpaid-61.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winnerbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Tricked (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$664Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$664.32
Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.45
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs WW Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$576.45
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs AM Gaming (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$582Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$476.1
Counter-Strike: TDK vs TNC (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffsbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$688Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$231.57
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.84
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$287
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.93
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.91
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stagebacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,246Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$463.99
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Donstu Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.66
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stagebacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$584Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$583.65
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagebacked ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$733Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$732.86
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stagebacked HEROIC Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$649Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$649.23
Counter-Strike: TNC vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group Cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+97.5%+$455.17
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Omega (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group Bbacked ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,136.2
All 17 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+59.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,437Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,437.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,780Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,780.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Sebastian Baez vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$360.18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.