CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15b1cf77d71debdd1251f6986ffeca50ffbd24e426f9f7231eb9ec64af853f63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof Nemiga, FOKUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x324c…93d9backed FOKUS | 2c | 1,875$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed FOKUS | 17c | 1,400$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked FOKUS | 13c | 1,261$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.15 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed FOKUS | 2c | 1,250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 0.8%1 W · 118 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nemiga | 79c | 1,160$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.18 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7f…7603backed FOKUS | 40c | 1,100$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 50cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…1ad3backed Nemiga | 55c | 999.96$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.48 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Nemiga | 58c | 944.58$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.53 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed FOKUS | 46c | 680.14$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.26 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed FOKUS | 5c | 607.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nemiga | 66c | 540.27$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.82 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked FOKUS | 52c | 539.37$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Nemiga | 67c | 538$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.93 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FOKUS | 29c | 476.42$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.97 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2067…7350backed FOKUS | 43c | 469.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 276 | 57.6%159 W · 117 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FOKUS | 27c | 444.48$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.87 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…7f8fbacked Nemiga | 72c | 416.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.78 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed FOKUS | 34c | 390.87$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.88 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nemiga | 72c | 360.16$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.09 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dc…94f8backed FOKUS | 15c | 325.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Nemiga | 54c | 278.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.39 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked FOKUS | 43c | 278.36$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Nemiga | 58c | 254.96$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.08 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked FOKUS | 43c | 249.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked FOKUS | 18c | 249.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed FOKUS | 42c | 245.19$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.98 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FOKUS | 33c | 235.11$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.13 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cf…f719backed Nemiga | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Nemiga | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 202 | 58.9%119 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked Nemiga | 62c | 194.21$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked FOKUS | 22c | 188$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6a…fdbbbacked Nemiga | 61c | 187.72$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.72 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Nemiga | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…0118backed FOKUS | 57c | 176.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Nemiga | 71c | 167.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.92 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nemiga | 58c | 157.25$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.27 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed Nemiga | 64c | 155.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed FOKUS | 28c | 140.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Nemiga | 78c | 128$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked FOKUS | 42c | 121$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Nemiga | 68c | 120.64$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked FOKUS | 45c | 119$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed FOKUS | 26c | 111.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…4043backed FOKUS | 44c | 108$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -45%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf93a…8a46backed Nemiga | 47c | 105.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked FOKUS | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nemiga | 57c | 98.25$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nemiga | 58c | 90.68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked FOKUS | 58c | 85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed FOKUS | 63c | 85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…2afabacked FOKUS | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 415 | 16.6%69 W · 346 L | -36.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked FOKUS | 69c | 65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ec…71a0backed FOKUS | 51c | 60.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed FOKUS | 40c | 53.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Nemiga | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Nemiga | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae0…8661backed Nemiga | 67c | 46.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nemiga | 71c | 46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd6…81f6backed Nemiga | 61c | 40.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 64 | 75%48 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Nemiga | 60c | 38.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Nemiga | 60c | 36.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97d…e699backed Nemiga | 63c | 36.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Nemiga | 54c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nemiga | 52c | 35.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb03b…4197backed FOKUS | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffd…08fabacked Nemiga | 57c | 33.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 254 | 57.5%146 W · 108 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked FOKUS | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…df1ebacked FOKUS | 55c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed FOKUS | 52c | 27.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked FOKUS | 38c | 26.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Nemiga | 63c | 26.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc982…b0bcbacked Nemiga | 78c | 26.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed FOKUS | 39c | 26.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FOKUS | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…99febacked Nemiga | 57c | 21.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Nemiga | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 PlayoffsFOKUS won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FOKUS - Map 1 WinnerFOKUS won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)FOKUS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.