CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0036bdcc59061385b5e88bf52c66920ce4de8611146b4d91042beff4c3e612d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOKUSof Nemiga, FOKUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa97d…e699backed Nemiga | 1c | 2,563$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed FOKUS | 55c | 2,296$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.63 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nemiga | 48c | 1,565$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.53 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Nemiga | 21c | 721.83$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.59 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed Nemiga | 44c | 592.32$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.62 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nemiga | 49c | 472.4$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.3 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked FOKUS | 48c | 413.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.89 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked FOKUS | 71c | 382.06$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.52 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Nemiga | 42c | 342$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.84 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed FOKUS | 58c | 309.31$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.6 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Nemiga | 67c | 300.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked FOKUS | 37c | 292.12$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.72 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked FOKUS | 65c | 259.64$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.64 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nemiga | 48c | 225.65$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.44 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Nemiga | 51c | 146.06$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.49 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294e…4982backed FOKUS | 49c | 146.06$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.49 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…0118backed FOKUS | 50c | 142.16$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.16 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae0…8661backed FOKUS | 42c | 140.07$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.87 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Nemiga | 29c | 132.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed FOKUS | 59c | 114.66$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.66 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93a…8a46backed FOKUS | 56c | 105.36$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked Nemiga | 28c | 103.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nemiga | 47c | 103.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed FOKUS | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6766…0db2backed FOKUS | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…4a19backed FOKUS | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…d35abacked Nemiga | 58c | 75.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed FOKUS | 48c | 50.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nemiga | 64c | 49.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nemiga | 43c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FOKUS | 73c | 38.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbf…68d8backed FOKUS | 61c | 32.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nemiga | 41c | 29.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Nemiga | 35c | 28.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nemiga | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a00…d958backed FOKUS | 58c | 21.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 316 | 62.7%198 W · 118 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 PlayoffsFOKUS won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FOKUS - Map 2 WinnerNemiga won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)FOKUS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.