TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf93a…8a46

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
186
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 57 out of 100; worst Champions League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT5567.3%37 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.82
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.59
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$19.06
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$31.87
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$26.4
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.45
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$60
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$19.74
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$29.81
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Dota 2: Enjoy vs L1ga Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Enjoy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifierbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.65
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$106.87
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$39.34
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,181Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$414.91
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,582Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$555.74
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$857Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$333.54
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT4967.3%33 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$89.42
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked Luminosity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+95%+$157.66
Counter-Strike: B8 vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$83.5
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$104.12
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.85
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$29.71
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.77
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$25.9
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.02
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.86
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$67.41
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$52.32
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$50.77
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$24.32
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+111.3%+$55.67
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winnerbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$46.36
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs WW Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.08
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$18.05
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$4
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$54.69
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.53
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.14
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$973Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$764.67
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.29
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$722Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$371.76
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$19.5
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$26.07
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$30.35
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$25.61
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$70.94
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$80.26
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.94
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$15.51
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.29
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$47.2
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)backed Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.97
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
LoL: Cloud9 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+37%+$5.92
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$89.4
South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.94
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.23
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.35
Denmark vs. Ukraine: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Netherlands vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$17.38
DR Congo vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$41.58
Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$28.33
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$27.09
Switzerland vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-59.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+170.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+54.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+75.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+76.4%+$109.07
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.49
Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$17
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ACF Fiorentina vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.17
AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+145.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+145.7%+$21.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 20-21°F on January 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$68.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.