Premier League · resolved market
Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdeaacc7388ef9557c54536d6de83021c497405f3affd3ff96c88572a375014f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 14c | 3,309$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.46 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Under | 62c | 2,612$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.44 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 62c | 2,597$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.52 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Over | 38c | 2,250$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.84 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 26c | 1,821$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.87 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 38c | 1,585$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.12 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 27c | 1,239$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.77 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed Over | 39c | 1,153$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.21 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Over | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Over | 39c | 766.67$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Under | 62c | 699.98$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.99 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 38c | 657.89$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Over | 38c | 618.84$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.16 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x389b…8d69backed Under | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Over | 33c | 430.04$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.61 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1724…fc81backed Under | 61c | 399.97$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 61c | 240$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…be02backed Under | 62c | 239.98$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 62c | 239.98$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.19 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…054ebacked Over | 38c | 231.6$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.01 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 63c | 212.33$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.56 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 62c | 212.14$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.61 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x233b…f46fbacked Under | 76c | 178.79$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 72c | 157$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Over | 38c | 140.66$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 61c | 136.97$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 38c | 131.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…fd61backed Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 31c | 130.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 20c | 104.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…8d1cbacked Under | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a50…6c6bbacked Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -11.4wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeddb…8afcbacked Over | 38c | 97.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 22c | 97.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 63c | 83.79$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed Over | 39c | 77.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Over | 38c | 75.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 39c | 74.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Under | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 62c | 67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…c2dbbacked Over | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 76c | 63.53$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Under | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 262 | 59.5%156 W · 106 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 34c | 59.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 31c | 57.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Under | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c6…38a9backed Over | 38c | 57.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0897…a901backed Under | 62c | 56.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 38c | 55.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…4bf1backed Over | 37c | 53.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Over | 38c | 53.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 22c | 50.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Over | 38c | 45.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf93a…8a46backed Over | 39c | 43.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 37c | 41.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…f9c5backed Under | 63c | 35.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked Over | 38c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Over | 38c | 27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7dc…af80backed Under | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1d…3937backed Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked Under | 65c | 18.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Under | 64c | 17.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.