TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x52a4…7fe3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
231
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 60 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST5952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Newcastle United FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$14.81
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.18
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.42
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25.59
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$29.99
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)backed Fulham FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$7.97
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.06
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$19.99
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15.48
Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+100%+$28.57
Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+88.7%+$17.73
Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+55.5%+$17.35
Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+69.5%+$20.84
Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+75.4%+$32.5
Arsenal FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+63.9%+$21.09
Brentford FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.81
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+66.7%+$21.59
Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20.23
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$33.9
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST3577.1%27 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rublev vs. Griekspoor: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Kecmanovic vs. Atmane: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$21.33
Mexican Open: Yibing Wu vs Flavio Cobollibacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Mensik vs. Griekspoor: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.85
Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Ugo Humbertbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Set 1 Winner: Griekspoor vs Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$21.86
Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Perricardbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+30.2%+$6.04
Dubai Tennis Championships: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.26
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Khachanov (+1.5)backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.08
Delray Beach Open: Marcos Giron vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+51.3%+$5.39
Rio Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Francesco Passarobacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.47
Michelsen vs. Korda: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$18.07
Rotterdam Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+35.1%+$9.32
Rotterdam Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.68
Set 1 Winner: Djokovic vs Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+25%+$4.83
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Shelton vs. Sinner: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25.98
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Minaur (+1.5)backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+38.9%+$22.56
Zverev vs. Tien: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+58.7%+$17.62
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruudbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+44.5%+$5.3
Shelton vs. Ruud: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+49.7%+$10.29
Musetti vs. Fritz: Match O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Paul (+1.5)backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+31.6%+$9.47
Australian Open Men's: Marin Cilic vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+38.9%+$10.89
Australian Open Men's: Jakub Mensik vs Ethan Quinnbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.74
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST3158.1%18 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$36.34
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+62.4%+$15.44
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$26.58
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+56.3%+$10.14
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.39
Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+61.3%+$6.74
Sporting CP vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+63.9%+$6.45
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$31.56
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+100%+$15.94
Qairat FK vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$131.03
Olympiakós SFP vs. PSV: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100.23
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+85.2%+$93.12
SSC Napoli vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Manchester City beat Sporting CP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST-100%-$54.78
Will Barcelona beat Bayern Munich?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT+122.2%+$36.67
Will Liverpool beat RB Leipzig?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT+75.4%+$17.95
Will Juventus beat Stuttgart?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Will Girona beat Slovan Bratislava?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT+26.6%+$4.64
Will Aston Villa beat Bologna?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14.74
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15.08
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$18.59
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.21
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.27
Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+150%+$30
Atletico Madrid vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+112.8%+$25.17
Spread: Barcelona (-2.5)backed Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$135.45
Barcelona vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$83.74
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$128
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$89.87
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$31.07
Will Barcelona beat Real Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT+245.1%+$49.02
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.16
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$19.99
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+26.6%+$7.22
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.99
Will Burkina Faso win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+92.3%+$10.3
Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50.05
Will Finland win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$85
Will Switzerland win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$307.42
Will Germany win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$19.6
Will Poland win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+37%+$55.48
Will Austria win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.23
Will Denmark win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
Will Türkiye win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$75.22
Will Norway win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$52.94
Will Switzerland win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+150%+$75
Will Sweden win on 2025-10-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$15.89
All 16 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1580%12 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+58.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+138.1%+$27.66
FC Bayern München vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+42.6%+$12.57
1. FC Köln vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+49.9%+$13.97
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+100%+$30
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)backed TSG 1899 Hoffenheim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+257.1%+$36
1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.25
FC Bayern München vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.46
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12.85
RB Leipzig vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+49.3%+$20.81
VfB Stuttgart vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Spread: 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)backed 1899 Hoffenheim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+194.1%+$20.19
FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20.19
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$60.13
Union Berlin vs. Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+104.1%+$62.45
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$63.85
All 15 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+25.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KRC Genk vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+104.1%+$21.64
KRC Genk vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$23.57
VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20.01
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Will Lyon win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will Real Betis win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$21.74
Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Lyon win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$194.11
Will FC Porto win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$72.49
Will Lille win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$84.71
Will Tottenham beat AZ Alkmaar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT+44.9%+$26.96
Will Fenerbahce beat Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$14.67
Will Lyon beat Besiktas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
Will Roma beat Dynamo Kyiv?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
All 14 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.31per pick54cpaid-58.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Groningen vs. PSV: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$22
AZ vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
FC Utrecht vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$22.11
FC Utrecht vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$22.3
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Telstar 1963 vs. AZ: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.43
Telstar 1963 vs. AZ: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19
AFC Ajax vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$33.71
FC Utrecht vs. NEC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will AZ win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+78.6%+$79.04
FC Groningen vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$136
Heracles Almelo vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+69.6%+$139.22
AFC Ajax vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)backed Atalanta BC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$30
AS Roma vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.09
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.65
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+49.3%+$22.79
Bologna vs. Napoli: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Lazio win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+69.5%+$69.49
AC Milan vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
AC Milan vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Inter win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+38.9%+$105.39
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed AC Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.94
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$24.17
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-76.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-29.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20.29
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$48.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+170.3%+$47.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.