Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5424a1d903438a47a518b67b667b540a26f39909dba44663a2ade4785dd481d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rybakinaof Pegula, Rybakina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,585,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,716,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,585,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 366 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Pegula | 7c | 321,146$21,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,191.09 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Rybakina | 67c | 89,552$60,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,552.24 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Pegula | 33c | 64,877$21,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,363.38 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Pegula | 34c | 56,320$19,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,008.66 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Rybakina | 67c | 52,462$35,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,102.46 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b4…13c9backed Pegula | 12c | 49,959$6,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,002.01 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Rybakina | 69c | 42,818$29,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,338.54 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pegula | 12c | 32,698$3,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,778.71 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Pegula | 18c | 21,330$3,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,740.94 | 765 | 46.8%358 W · 407 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed Rybakina | 69c | 19,978$13,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,193.26 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…13acbacked Pegula | 33c | 19,116$6,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,305.95 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…3fa1backed Pegula | 1c | 18,190$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.41 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rybakina | 77c | 17,612$13,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,074.02 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Rybakina | 66c | 16,962$11,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,767.21 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Pegula | 30c | 14,955$4,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,488 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Pegula | 32c | 14,473$4,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,631.28 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7750…a3f3backed Pegula | 4c | 13,596$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.75 | 112 | 15.2%17 W · 95 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Pegula | 33c | 13,500$4,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,439.99 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Pegula | 26c | 13,193$3,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,410.99 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Pegula | 18c | 11,601$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Pegula | 34c | 8,824$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pegula | 12c | 8,227$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.05 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2793…1f9bbacked Rybakina | 68c | 7,810$5,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…e888backed Pegula | 18c | 7,600$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pegula | 33c | 7,500$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Rybakina | 67c | 7,473$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,472.67 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pegula | 33c | 6,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Rybakina | 66c | 5,497$3,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.15 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Pegula | 33c | 5,494$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813 | 208 | 44.2%92 W · 116 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Pegula | 21c | 5,373$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.89 | 52 | 5.8%3 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pegula | 34c | 5,100$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734 | 87 | 21.8%19 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Pegula | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.95 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Rybakina | 69c | 4,348$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.13 | 136 | 52.9%72 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Pegula | 15c | 4,326$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.47 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2073…385bbacked Rybakina | 68c | 4,310$2,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.36 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…ac9fbacked Rybakina | 68c | 4,209$2,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Pegula | 11c | 4,114$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.9 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Pegula | 22c | 3,964$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.46 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Rybakina | 78c | 3,306$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.18 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…49d2backed Pegula | 31c | 3,261$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Pegula | 32c | 3,110$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.18 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e92…c03fbacked Pegula | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Pegula | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Pegula | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Rybakina | 67c | 2,985$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.07 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Pegula | 34c | 2,776$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.69 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f28…4c34backed Rybakina | 68c | 2,647$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Rybakina | 77c | 2,543$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.18 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f58…6f3cbacked Pegula | 20c | 2,511$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Pegula | 11c | 2,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Pegula | 31c | 2,353$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.57 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Rybakina | 77c | 2,278$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.04 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pegula | 15c | 2,225$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.78 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Rybakina | 67c | 2,090$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.55 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Pegula | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Pegula | 7c | 1,908$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.75 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Pegula | 15c | 1,798$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.7 | 243 | 40.3%98 W · 145 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Pegula | 17c | 1,794$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Pegula | 34c | 1,720$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 1,277 | 56.6%723 W · 554 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9a…099fbacked Pegula | 6c | 1,678$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Rybakina | 67c | 1,627$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.87 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pegula | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.03 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Rybakina | 66c | 1,600$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.99 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Pegula | 14c | 1,558$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.36 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Pegula | 33c | 1,519$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.27 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Pegula | 33c | 1,516$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.2 | 1,437 | 28.5%409 W · 1,028 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pegula | 34c | 1,515$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.1 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Pegula | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 271 | 32.1%87 W · 184 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Pegula | 8c | 1,500$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.4 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Rybakina | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69c9…e904backed Rybakina | 65c | 1,435$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.19 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ba…bbb6backed Pegula | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Pegula | 33c | 1,350$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.5 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Rybakina | 66c | 1,349$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a36…e201backed Pegula | 34c | 1,324$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Pegula | 33c | 1,303$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.85 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Rybakina | 72c | 1,290$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.32 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Pegula | 21c | 1,200$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.46 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Pegula | 2c | 1,181$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f05…4480backed Rybakina | 68c | 1,176$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.47 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…540bbacked Pegula | 25c | 1,174$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.48 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade0…e568backed Pegula | 28c | 1,172$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Rybakina | 70c | 1,146$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.52 | 360 | 38.9%140 W · 220 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…c18cbacked Pegula | 8c | 1,133$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.87 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Pegula | 10c | 1,124$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.22 | 248 | 37.1%92 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Rybakina | 68c | 1,104$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.29 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Pegula | 16c | 1,103$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2af0…dd99backed Rybakina | 66c | 1,079$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Rybakina | 68c | 1,029$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.42 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Rybakina | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…7c6bbacked Pegula | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…a27ebacked Pegula | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Pegula | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Rybakina | 67c | 922.51$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.43 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Rybakina | 68c | 910.85$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.47 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b1…e667backed Rybakina | 80c | 900.91$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.96 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…be65backed Pegula | 10c | 900$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Pegula | 19c | 884.2$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Rybakina | 69c | 871.7$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.7 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50f8…8908backed Rybakina | 68c | 829.29$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinathis page
- Pegula vs. Rybakina: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Pegula vs. Rybakina: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Pegula vs. Rybakina: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Pegula vs RybakinaRybakina won
- Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Pegula (+1.5)Rybakina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.