TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc400…7c6b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST2445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.34
Knicks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
76ers vs. Clippersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$91.27
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$55.01
Raptors vs. Magic: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11.25
Lakers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$32.3
Nets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$41.6
Nets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Pistons vs. Nuggetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$53.22
Bucks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+29.9%+$29.87
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+257.1%+$100.8
Spurs vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Pistons vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+284.6%+$41.44
Pelicans vs. Pacers: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Hawks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+156.4%+$46.92
Kings vs. Warriorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+128.8%+$33.77
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$44
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+186.9%+$64.82
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+244.8%+$70.93
Kings vs. Trail Blazersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$13
All 24 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$43.2
Canucks vs. Avalanchebacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$56.43
Blues vs. Starsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Sharks vs. Avalanchebacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$79.06
Blackhawks vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$31.2
Senators vs. Predators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+141.9%+$35.2
Capitals vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$122.5
Islanders vs. Flames: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$26.6
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20.28
Sharks vs. Red Wingsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Sharks vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Panthers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+145.1%+$29.59
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Senators vs. Avalanchebacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+37%+$14.85
Utah vs. Avalanchebacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Rinderknech (+1.5)backed Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.12
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Alexandra Eala vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$56.9
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+37%+$32.01
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+809.1%+$404.55
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$320
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolinabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+42.9%+$75
Australian Open Women's: Linda Noskova vs Taylah Prestonbacked Preston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Australian Open Men's: Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergsbacked Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$47.23
Australian Open Men's: Jakub Mensik vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+25%+$7.5
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Coleman Wongbacked Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.6
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-62.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Nacional win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$160
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Metz win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-02-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$38.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona vs. Partizanbacked Partizan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Hooker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.