La Liga · resolved market
Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7534972bdd3e762856549c9c8e249d20ef5d25174fca5b82c1c6e59b02729d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 77 | 19.5%15 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,799.96 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 65c | 3,506$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,286.17 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 50c | 3,292$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.06 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed Under | 31c | 3,248$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.99 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 69c | 2,633$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.77 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 67c | 1,977$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.41 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 47c | 1,720$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.29 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 1,698$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.34 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee39…59bfbacked Over | 69c | 1,564$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 32c | 1,499$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.34 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 50c | 1,182$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 35c | 917.68$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.67 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 69c | 869.57$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 64 | 78.1%50 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…b796backed Over | 67c | 826.51$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.76 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 32c | 800$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Under | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 69c | 750$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 33c | 650.74$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.71 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Over | 65c | 650$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 33c | 599.97$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.98 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 32c | 559.8$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.26 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Over | 52c | 548.17$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.05 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…8a1dbacked Over | 68c | 533.79$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Over | 65c | 499.99$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 55c | 493.52$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 490.2$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.1 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 68c | 473.52$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.88 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 33c | 454.5$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.27 | 216 | 26.9%58 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 32c | 420$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.6 | 276 | 52.5%145 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 32c | 419.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.6 | 317 | 51.1%162 W · 155 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 66c | 402.8$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3592…c81abacked Over | 43c | 400.57$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 32c | 399.91$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.94 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 67c | 324.46$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.39 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…faa4backed Under | 68c | 315.13$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.09 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 52c | 310.81$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.62 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over | 7c | 300.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x018d…4fdabacked Over | 66c | 289.15$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.84 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 69c | 288.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 68c | 287.7$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.64 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 32c | 280$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.4 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…4626backed Over | 60c | 270$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 32c | 250$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabc4…c4b1backed Over | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 59c | 220.92$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 32c | 199.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.99 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 38c | 197.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c92…e526backed Under | 51c | 193.59$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 52c | 190.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.83 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 32c | 190$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.2 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 68c | 189.29$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0b…1db9backed Over | 55c | 182.06$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 64c | 180.11$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 32c | 180$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Over | 67c | 174.63$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 147 | 59.2%87 W · 60 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 32c | 170$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.6 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 32c | 170$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.6 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 32c | 170$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.6 | 202 | 50.5%102 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 32c | 170$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.6 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 57c | 162.62$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.65 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 162.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.08 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 54c | 160$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2464…75f8backed Over | 67c | 150.18$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 32c | 150$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 32c | 149.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 210 | 51.9%109 W · 101 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0b…0eb7backed Over | 67c | 148.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -11.8wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 35c | 142$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd885…c666backed Over | 68c | 135.26$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 38c | 131.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Over | 59c | 129.86$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.26 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 32c | 120$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 32c | 120$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 32c | 120$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 32c | 120$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 193 | 52.3%101 W · 92 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Over | 68c | 118.93$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.87 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed Under | 47c | 114.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.89 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 54c | 108.44$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.12 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 32c | 105.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.93 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec71…70ebbacked Over | 67c | 101.49$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed Over | 49c | 101.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.35per pick | 56cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2b…4c50backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Over | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 45c | 98.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Over | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 45c | 89.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x492f…bc51backed Over | 67c | 88.63$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d20…1f58backed Under | 71c | 85.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 32c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…d654backed Over | 51c | 75.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5this page
- Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.