TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,890
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,067

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,890 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No41c6,577$2,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,897.954,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes68c4,558$3,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,112.0726550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed No61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.821968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No32c1,500$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.9838729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked No60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No34c698.09$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.0479133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8c7…3fa6backed Yes40c620.73$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+56.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2358…8986backed Yes66c603.33$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Yes63c449.24$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.8317541.1%72 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccc5…ada3backed Yes65c399.97$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.985650%28 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No37c371.64$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.9655941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes59c320$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.811457.9%66 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e3d…3627backed Yes68c310.78$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.33450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f6c…08bfbacked Yes69c301.45$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5791…a476backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-73.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes44c204.51$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8911736.8%43 W · 74 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11016745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Yes55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No31c182.95$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.2422746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes66c178$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4842458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No33c169.07$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5453246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e66…01cbbacked Yes40c165$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes37c161.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6022729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc71d…3f27backed Yes66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes66c151.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x113f…95a6backed Yes67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005056%28 W · 22 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No42c148.2$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.413,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014759.2%87 W · 60 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No44c119.51$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.21,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015034.7%52 W · 98 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes50c100.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d32…fe50backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677851.3%40 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Yes67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked No36c97.92$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.924562.2%28 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd22…7025backed Yes66c90.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604953.1%26 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea1a…bf1abacked Yes59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd44…621dbacked Yes67c78.51$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+15.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed No34c76.82$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.79354.8%51 W · 42 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes57c76$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3957252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506950.7%35 W · 34 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Yes68c73.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505255.8%29 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0475…c05bbacked Yes67c72.42$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.52757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+51.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed No47c71.19$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7514850.7%75 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x461e…61fabacked Yes67c70$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes64c64.92$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5528055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18b…51b9backed Yes68c64.71$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7e3…395cbacked Yes42c61.9$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-42.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1835…83afbacked Yes57c61.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Yes66c60.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022366.8%149 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fc8…6875backed No40c60$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d96…0be4backed Yes69c57.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed No35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1428342.8%121 W · 162 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes46c55.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.48922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-67.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xacbc…e374backed Yes69c54.32$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.481040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-34.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked No34c53.31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.314637%17 W · 29 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d14…261dbacked Yes68c52.07$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.411346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Yes42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.24247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Yes66c46.39$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6234050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x47d9…da92backed No33c45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+200%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f5…8797backed Yes69c43.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11f8…0c9ebacked Yes58c43.34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+168.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Yes44c42.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196437.5%24 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f5b…1008backed Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-67.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b94…315bbacked Yes66c40.95$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.031258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28ad…b2d3backed No49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03bc…530cbacked Yes49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.611153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7e…e72ebacked Yes60c39.72$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0e…2b59backed Yes55c38.79$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.511450%7 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes67c37.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+25.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4307…15e5backed Yes54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Yes58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018656.5%105 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d81…1fb4backed Yes44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+26.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes62c31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2237039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfef3…41f2backed No62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick60cpaid+50.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x914b…a886backed Yes48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.42373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x55df…078ebacked Yes69c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick29cpaid-77.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3df…3e0cbacked Yes67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Yes58c29.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.075152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac85…f23bbacked Yes69c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1036…fb48backed Yes69c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd885…c666backed Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Yes65c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.251040%4 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-43.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3552…0d65backed Yes62c22.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x518b…cf8abacked Yes67c22.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd033…033dbacked Yes67c22.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick66cpaid-42.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f82…102ebacked Yes67c22.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick64cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Yes68c22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9630%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d29…84a2backed Yes70c20.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a45…512abacked No63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Yes67c19.4$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138439.3%33 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Yes66c17.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.553330.3%10 W · 23 L-7.3wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-50.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.