La Liga · resolved market
Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ddf0b88500628f931c4b10f927b269f9ab527b9b83bb69bdbbd5a61ddaabee0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 15,352$4,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,242.91 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 64c | 5,555$3,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.33 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…96f4backed Under | 61c | 3,803$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.74 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 13c | 2,582$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.48 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 2,582$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.82 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 14c | 1,590$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.36 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 40c | 1,230$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.18 | 849 | 39.7%337 W · 512 L | -21.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 41c | 1,227$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.11 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 35c | 1,207$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.24 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…7d32backed Over | 78c | 1,093$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.34 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 56c | 1,059$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.28 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…fce2backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked Over | 71c | 929.58$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.58 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 72cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…3fa6backed Over | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 14c | 794.77$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.18 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 36c | 678.36$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.29 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over | 80c | 600$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…ff71backed Over | 47c | 599.99$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 65c | 433.31$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.56 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…e4f6backed Over | 47c | 425.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb903…9942backed Under | 34c | 366.56$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.91 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 67c | 355.74$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.74 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 61c | 326.73$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.91 | 425 | 58.4%248 W · 177 L | +31.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 66c | 264.06$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.77 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Over | 77c | 261.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd544…4d5ebacked Under | 39c | 249.83$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Over | 62c | 241.26$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.23 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +14.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x461e…61fabacked Under | 38c | 230$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 60c | 218.04$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.04 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…fc90backed Under | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0615…38dbbacked Under | 24c | 206.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…8cd3backed Over | 75c | 200.4$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Over | 39c | 193.66$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e9…7b20backed Over | 78c | 191.6$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa78a…2f5cbacked Under | 53c | 188.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe66d…97acbacked Over | 75c | 180.22$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 59c | 170$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 38c | 161.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.82 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa304…c4fbbacked Over | 66c | 160$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Over | 61c | 154$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.16 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 41c | 152.76$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…2b59backed Over | 77c | 150$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Over | 42c | 142.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 39c | 140$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.6 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 53c | 135.04$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.47 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd6…02f3backed Over | 78c | 128.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Over | 67c | 127.69$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +12.8wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Under | 14c | 119.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Over | 60c | 99.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 139 | 58.3%81 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Under | 43c | 94.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 15c | 90.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Over | 64c | 90.6$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…1f7dbacked Under | 21c | 80.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…6715backed Over | 61c | 79.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 74c | 77.87$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…169bbacked Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0417…9248backed Over | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…7c6bbacked Over | 45c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 39c | 74.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 62c | 74.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…906bbacked Over | 31c | 65.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b5…10aebacked Under | 25c | 61.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 50c | 61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 33c | 59.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa25d…7353backed Over | 75c | 59.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 48c | 49.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 36c | 47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf226…9c0fbacked Under | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…7ab1backed Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…a886backed Over | 64c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Under | 39c | 34.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 40c | 34.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Over | 71c | 33.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…4aebbacked Over | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…84c5backed Over | 68c | 29.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed Over | 79c | 28.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 59c | 27.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…1c72backed Over | 63c | 26.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…8cbdbacked Over | 58c | 24.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…04d0backed Over | 62c | 21.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3d…341abacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…34b7backed Over | 71c | 17.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…41f2backed Over | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Over | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5this page
- Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.