TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa25d…7353

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT3060%18 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$32.53
FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.66
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.37
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$23.95
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$63.84
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.12
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+95.5%+$55.65
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Real Madrid CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$22.5
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+30.7%+$6.14
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+56.3%+$14.06
FC Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+27.4%+$15.08
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+51%+$51
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+25.4%+$38.07
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+26.1%+$65.14
Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+32.9%+$14.8
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$57.53
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+129.9%+$27.28
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$16.23
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$41.91
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$14.94
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$30.45
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$49.85
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$28.64
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+53.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$40.56
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+107.1%+$42.84
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+223.8%+$33.57
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$27.86
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.48
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+181.9%+$36.39
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$111.55
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$21.81
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$109
Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+280.7%+$164.06
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+32.5%+$100.44
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+35.1%+$43.92
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+89.9%+$65.64
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.18
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.93
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.04
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.61
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+137.5%+$27.51
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$7.5
Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26%+$7.81
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$24.81
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.85
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+115.2%+$28.79
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.3
All 13 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick14cpaid+342.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Will New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 January 5-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.