TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,766,253
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,734,571

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,766,253 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under43c376,321$163,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213,257.884,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over52c183,760$94,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94,938.881,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over54c157,357$85,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85,518.532,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over77c96,360$73,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,892.221029%61 W · 149 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under23c93,867$21,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,264.563,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over75c62,481$46,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,600.881,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under22c62,391$13,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,489.5521836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb6c3…600fbacked Over78c53,238$41,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,525.994148.8%20 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under42c46,496$19,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,160.3777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over36c43,857$15,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,889.523,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over77c39,657$30,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,484.852,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under22c38,900$8,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,186.4429740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under25c36,072$8,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,187.921,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under57c32,459$18,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,921.5864446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under22c30,558$6,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,835.0518738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36a7…b6e9backed Under23c26,020$5,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,035.418046.3%37 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over66c22,985$15,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,269.528,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eaf…a3a1backed Over35c20,000$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,999.993930.8%12 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under26c20,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,799.7920724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Under26c19,888$5,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,717.029627.1%26 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over75c18,030$13,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,594.152,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d5…db37backed Over78c17,095$13,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,333.993458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under26c16,231$4,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,003.561,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62d2…1b70backed Over46c15,852$7,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,267.428243.9%36 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b5c…4960backed Over76c15,470$11,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,722.03616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-62%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under23c13,000$2,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,009.9521333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Under23c12,024$2,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,258.2820333.5%68 W · 135 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under23c11,011$2,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,436.432,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Over77c10,273$7,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,907.7110331.1%32 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Over77c10,161$7,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,775.5220547.3%97 W · 108 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Under23c10,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,70025844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66ac…0118backed Over29c9,700$2,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,774.99175.9%1 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick20cpaid-82.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under28c9,552$2,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,921.31,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over29c9,503$2,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,785.372,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Over74c9,372$6,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,928.9810355.3%57 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec6…eda9backed Over51c9,326$4,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,796.232725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Over73c8,726$6,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,384.877455.4%41 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under48c8,478$4,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,394.4942541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0843…ec56backed Over74c8,464$6,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,263.5320%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over13c7,725$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.4174034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under25c7,674$1,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,762.62,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over36c7,500$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under27c7,190$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,248.391,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c0…1bedbacked Under23c7,150$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,505.56050%30 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+56.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Over76c6,614$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00020448.5%99 W · 105 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6172…7dc4backed Over74c6,596$4,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,880.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over77c6,525$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00031644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0838…63b1backed Over77c6,316$4,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,863.671435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04ce…8ccfbacked Over72c6,000$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,319.98650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x510b…795bbacked Under23c5,582$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,297.121560%9 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under65c5,500$3,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,929.9925244.8%113 W · 139 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a1b…530abacked Over73c5,184$3,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,784.23855.3%21 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Over37c5,180$1,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,914.8820234.2%69 W · 133 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8082…3974backed Over74c5,157$3,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,815.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-45.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf09…b8c5backed Over74c5,142$3,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,804.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-45.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55e1…8ce8backed Over74c5,036$3,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,726.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-45.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca5e…4af1backed Under23c5,000$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,849.954100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+150.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf422…3b18backed Over78c4,987$3,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,887.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed Under55c4,986$2,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,232.2710942.2%46 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over5c4,881$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.5934924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3296…e014backed Over74c4,826$3,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,571.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-45.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Over52c4,808$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50021442.5%91 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under24c4,800$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,647.9937850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f9f…2a51backed Over71c4,715$3,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,347.77263.9%46 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed Under24c4,569$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,486.676634.8%23 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under24c4,416$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,356.1226454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under24c4,200$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,19238351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe512…5751backed Over72c4,173$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0007926.6%21 W · 58 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7655…2b5ebacked Over36c4,097$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.91387.9%3 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick18cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under24c4,011$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,048.0636250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00014445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over34c4,000$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.9843248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under42c3,842$1,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,214.3333740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under25c3,703$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,791.0184751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8d3…a012backed Over74c3,666$2,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,713.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-45.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under24c3,600$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,73635251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Over71c3,550$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,520.492540%10 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-32.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1ecc…3ed9backed Over72c3,509$2,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,526.222540%10 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x81c6…2a67backed Over74c3,468$2,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,566.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-45.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa6…2663backed Over73c3,449$2,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,517.951850%9 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under25c3,316$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,494.6148152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd31d…3d13backed Over61c3,302$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006741.8%28 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over62c3,240$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,995.792846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under25c3,237$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,427.8971638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under25c3,214$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,395.951,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c37…0631backed Over48c3,125$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf004…c9d6backed Over71c3,099$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2001668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+33.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over49c3,056$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.9921641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over45c3,044$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,360.172,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63f5…09ddbacked Over1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305719.3%11 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over30c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90022643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3407…c3ebbacked Over77c3,000$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3102433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-38.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Over33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99038817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under75c2,933$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.3320262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over73c2,932$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,142.3326455.3%146 W · 118 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0453…12fbbacked Over68c2,910$1,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,987.085761.4%35 W · 22 L+6.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+26.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under28c2,903$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,101.022,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f8a…b29bbacked Over78c2,837$2,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,201.510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over49c2,782$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.863255.7%352 W · 280 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e8…7c26backed Under60c2,663$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.075558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.