Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Spain (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x156c2e109e104272e7f556d54e35df2353e99e0f7271a88fb966a665e94c91a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cabo Verdeof Spain, Cabo Verde
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $372,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $373,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $372,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Spain | 22c | 34,234$7,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,381 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Spain | 20c | 29,531$5,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,759.17 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Spain | 25c | 17,908$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Spain | 17c | 17,458$2,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,961.03 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Spain | 21c | 17,375$3,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,573.42 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Cabo Verde | 78c | 14,361$11,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190.39 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spain | 20c | 13,435$2,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.11 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Spain | 26c | 11,748$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Spain | 19c | 11,429$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.56 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9744…4789backed Spain | 18c | 10,859$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a8…5204backed Spain | 23c | 8,547$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Spain | 21c | 8,194$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.77 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed Cabo Verde | 79c | 8,000$6,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.99 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Spain | 19c | 7,000$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.99 | 207 | 24.6%51 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Spain | 21c | 4,444$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.22 | 320 | 29.4%94 W · 226 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Cabo Verde | 74c | 4,221$3,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.14 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Cabo Verde | 80c | 4,146$3,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.81 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cabo Verde | 79c | 4,000$3,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.99 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Cabo Verde | 78c | 3,818$2,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.31 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Cabo Verde | 79c | 3,801$2,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.88 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Spain | 15c | 3,633$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.89 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Spain | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 250 | 19.6%49 W · 201 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…a2d6backed Spain | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Cabo Verde | 77c | 2,825$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.97 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…a11dbacked Spain | 14c | 2,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.7 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Spain | 19c | 2,198$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.13 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…bd53backed Spain | 15c | 2,193$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.35 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b5…280cbacked Spain | 23c | 2,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 81 | 35.8%29 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Spain | 19c | 2,108$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…a861backed Spain | 71c | 1,963$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Cabo Verde | 78c | 1,735$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.65 | 167 | 58.7%98 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Spain | 20c | 1,665$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.31 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Spain | 18c | 1,610$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.62 | 271 | 45.8%124 W · 147 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…1002backed Spain | 23c | 1,601$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 249 | 17.7%44 W · 205 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Spain | 21c | 1,584$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.23 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cabo Verde | 75c | 1,574$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.17 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9837…ad59backed Spain | 21c | 1,524$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 145 | 34.5%50 W · 95 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Spain | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Spain | 21c | 1,421$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3221…3f12backed Spain | 10c | 1,400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Cabo Verde | 78c | 1,399$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.35 | 175 | 68.6%120 W · 55 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 74cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Spain | 17c | 1,385$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.68 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Cabo Verde | 80c | 1,344$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.04 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Spain | 20c | 1,252$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.2 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685f…ca87backed Spain | 19c | 1,200$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Cabo Verde | 79c | 1,145$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.52 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Spain | 20c | 1,118$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.98 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Spain | 21c | 1,105$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.05 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Cabo Verde | 80c | 1,073$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.61 | 138 | 60.9%84 W · 54 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Spain | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…df66backed Spain | 22c | 919.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8005…fb02backed Spain | 17c | 908.68$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc06b…d849backed Spain | 21c | 906.71$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Cabo Verde | 79c | 833.24$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.95 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…f08abacked Spain | 24c | 824.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…d9c3backed Spain | 18c | 778.5$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.81 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf2…5da0backed Spain | 21c | 756.32$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.76 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4372…6a96backed Spain | 19c | 749.9$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.48 | 269 | 21.6%58 W · 211 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Cabo Verde | 79c | 746.44$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.75 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Cabo Verde | 28c | 736.98$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.12 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +14.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbc92…7e4abacked Spain | 20c | 717.37$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.7 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f89…8ed0backed Spain | 17c | 704.55$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Cabo Verde | 78c | 656.81$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.08 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Cabo Verde | 78c | 656.21$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.44 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Spain | 20c | 624.16$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.89 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc260…68dfbacked Cabo Verde | 77c | 604.21$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.96 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…998ebacked Spain | 3c | 599.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Spain | 23c | 548.74$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…c3a9backed Cabo Verde | 79c | 526.97$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Cabo Verde | 29c | 525.56$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.04 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Spain | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 304 | 63.5%193 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Spain | 3c | 491.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f4…200ebacked Spain | 24c | 487.09$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.13 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb699…6d41backed Spain | 21c | 480$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…fce6backed Spain | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Spain | 19c | 471.23$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 224 | 36.6%82 W · 142 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb05d…78bdbacked Spain | 24c | 471.1$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d78…c66cbacked Spain | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5844…035abacked Spain | 22c | 454.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 165 | 33.9%56 W · 109 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Spain | 4c | 447$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf6…82c8backed Spain | 23c | 440.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa53f…8c53backed Spain | 23c | 436.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -56%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Spain | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed Spain | 23c | 434.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…ffc3backed Spain | 21c | 426.22$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Spain | 18c | 414.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.61 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cd…2eedbacked Spain | 23c | 413.89$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…b19dbacked Spain | 22c | 411.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.46 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Spain | 9c | 400.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Spain | 23c | 400$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.03 | 524 | 55%288 W · 236 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Spain | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Spain | 22c | 399.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 152 | 25.7%39 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed Spain | 18c | 395$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Spain | 18c | 379.94$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6634…bf02backed Spain | 6c | 366.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Spain | 23c | 348.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Spain | 21c | 343.08$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.05 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad9a…c3f4backed Spain | 22c | 340.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed Cabo Verde | 79c | 333.81$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Spain | 11c | 301.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 464 | 45.5%211 W · 253 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spain (-4.5)this page
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-4.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)Cabo Verde won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.