TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Spain (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cabo Verdeof Spain, Cabo Verde
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$372,344
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$373,669

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $372,344 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x032e…2a9ebacked Spain22c34,234$7,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,3812,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spain20c29,531$5,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,759.174,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Spain25c17,908$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50019644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Spain17c17,458$2,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,961.0316833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Spain21c17,375$3,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,573.421,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Cabo Verde78c14,361$11,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,190.391,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spain20c13,435$2,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.112,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Spain26c11,748$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00018740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spain19c11,429$2,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,224.562,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9744…4789backed Spain18c10,859$1,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,954.61241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a8…5204backed Spain23c8,547$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007122.5%16 W · 55 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Spain21c8,194$1,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,720.778047.5%38 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Cabo Verde79c8,000$6,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.9912862.5%80 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Spain19c7,000$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.9920724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Spain21c4,444$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.2232029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Cabo Verde74c4,221$3,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.1477845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Cabo Verde80c4,146$3,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.811,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Cabo Verde79c4,000$3,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.9947032.8%154 W · 316 L-0.7wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Cabo Verde78c3,818$2,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.314,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Cabo Verde79c3,801$2,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.883,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Spain15c3,633$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.8958642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Spain19c3,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57025019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce37…a2d6backed Spain20c3,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.992334.8%8 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+63.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Cabo Verde77c2,825$2,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.971,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a4…a11dbacked Spain14c2,500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.72429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Spain19c2,198$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.1360752.4%318 W · 289 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95c5…bd53backed Spain15c2,193$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.35156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8b5…280cbacked Spain23c2,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008135.8%29 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Spain19c2,108$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.61837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid+25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bbc…a861backed Spain71c1,963$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4002623.1%6 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Cabo Verde78c1,735$1,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.6516758.7%98 W · 69 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spain20c1,665$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.318,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Spain18c1,610$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.6227145.8%124 W · 147 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Spain23c1,601$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37224917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Spain21c1,584$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.231,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Cabo Verde75c1,574$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.1725848.4%125 W · 133 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9837…ad59backed Spain21c1,524$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32014534.5%50 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Spain2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3036437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabbd…f261backed Spain21c1,421$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3221…3f12backed Spain10c1,400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Cabo Verde78c1,399$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.3517568.6%120 W · 55 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick74cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Spain17c1,385$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.681,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Cabo Verde80c1,344$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.043,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Spain20c1,252$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.236123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x685f…ca87backed Spain19c1,200$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Cabo Verde79c1,145$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.5222551.6%116 W · 109 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Spain20c1,118$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.9811239.3%44 W · 68 L-10.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spain21c1,105$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.052,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Cabo Verde80c1,073$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.6113860.9%84 W · 54 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x66c1…2c72backed Spain6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604226.2%11 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e88…df66backed Spain22c919.34$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011029.1%32 W · 78 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8005…fb02backed Spain17c908.68$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.48616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc06b…d849backed Spain21c906.71$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.71346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Cabo Verde79c833.24$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.952,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x797f…f08abacked Spain24c824.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb876…d9c3backed Spain18c778.5$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.814926.5%13 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf2…5da0backed Spain21c756.32$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.763036.7%11 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4372…6a96backed Spain19c749.9$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.4826921.6%58 W · 211 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Cabo Verde79c746.44$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.758357.8%48 W · 35 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+77.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc8f…d0e4backed Cabo Verde28c736.98$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.1210137.6%38 W · 63 L+14.5wins+0.14per pick23cpaid+45.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xbc92…7e4abacked Spain20c717.37$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.73721.6%8 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f89…8ed0backed Spain17c704.55$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Cabo Verde78c656.81$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.082,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Cabo Verde78c656.21$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.442,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Spain20c624.16$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.891,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc260…68dfbacked Cabo Verde77c604.21$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.961957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+31.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb042…998ebacked Spain3c599.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184032.5%13 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf27a…78d8backed Spain23c548.74$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12522752.4%119 W · 108 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x050d…c3a9backed Cabo Verde79c526.97$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.964158.5%24 W · 17 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+26.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x90d4…2deebacked Cabo Verde29c525.56$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.047630.3%23 W · 53 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Spain19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9530463.5%193 W · 111 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Spain3c491.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.446426.6%17 W · 47 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x76f4…200ebacked Spain24c487.09$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1312043.3%52 W · 68 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb699…6d41backed Spain21c480$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.81346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e86…fce6backed Spain21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-47.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Spain19c471.23$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9122436.6%82 W · 142 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb05d…78bdbacked Spain24c471.1$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d78…c66cbacked Spain22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004015%6 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5844…035abacked Spain22c454.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016533.9%56 W · 109 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Spain4c447$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.882,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf6…82c8backed Spain23c440.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-63.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa53f…8c53backed Spain23c436.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-56%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Spain23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005143.1%22 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff04…d971backed Spain23c434.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009418.1%17 W · 77 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-41.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…ffc3backed Spain21c426.22$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9080%0 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Spain18c414.51$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6138817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cd…2eedbacked Spain23c413.89$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick34cpaid+8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4bc…b19dbacked Spain22c411.18$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.463053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Spain9c400.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.732,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Spain23c400$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0352455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x800b…152abacked Spain18c400$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Spain22c399.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8815225.7%39 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa718…baf1backed Spain18c395$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.481145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Spain18c379.94$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.72,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6634…bf02backed Spain6c366.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.48425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid-37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca85…7453backed Spain23c348.06$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807722.1%17 W · 60 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked Spain21c343.08$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.052429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-43.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xad9a…c3f4backed Spain22c340.91$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757934.2%27 W · 52 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed Cabo Verde79c333.81$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Spain11c301.15$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1546445.5%211 W · 253 L-1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.