TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xce37…a2d6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT3531.4%11 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick43cpaid+31.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bad Homburg Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Karolina Muchovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Bad Homburg Open: Naomi Osaka vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Bad Homburg Open: Iga Swiatek vs Emma Navarrobacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.06
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Panna Udvardybacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.61
Bad Homburg Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,968Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,967.69
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Tatjana Mariabacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Bad Homburg Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Bad Homburg Open, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Irina-Camelia Begubacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Halle Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Grass Court Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Alexandra Ealabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritzbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keysbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Grass Court Championships: Alexandra Eala vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Grass Court Championships: Madison Keys vs Karolina Muchovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Grass Court Championships: Paula Badosa vs Coco Gauffbacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+2,400%+$960
Nottingham Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Emma Navarrobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$240
Halle Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Grass Court Championships: Nikola Bartunkova vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Katie Volynetsbacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Gironbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$299.99
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomerybacked Daria Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekicbacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+63.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Germany (-2.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Algeria (-2.5)backed Algeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$310
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Egypt (-2.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)backed Uruguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Spread: Japan (-2.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+400%+$800
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$102
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
Spread: Türkiye (-2.5)backed Türkiye · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
Spread: United States (-2.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,679.93
Spread: Colombia (-2.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$419.89
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)backed Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.71
Spread: Portugal (-3.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$948.86
Spread: Uruguay (-2.5)backed Uruguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Spread: Spain (-4.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.99
Spread: Germany (-4.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,340
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Spread: United States (-2.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$920
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+203%+$335
All 23 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$429.99
Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.31
Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+300%+$1,499.99
Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 167.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.55
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,160
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.99
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 170.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$240
PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.98
Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Skybacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$171.51
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Feverbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.99
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick30cpaid+226.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$1,275
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$491.44
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$680
All 3 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.