Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb7e3e560df16a637514fbac34768ddf8bea8f9607956f25b037878536454136
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Englandof Croatia, England
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Croatia | 3c | 12,074$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.57 | 128 | 25.8%33 W · 95 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Croatia | 3c | 10,202$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 306 | 7.8%24 W · 282 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Croatia | 6c | 9,649$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.03 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587c…9c4ebacked Croatia | 6c | 9,145$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.09 | 100 | 19%19 W · 81 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Croatia | 3c | 8,372$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.12 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Croatia | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 241 | 44.8%108 W · 133 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Croatia | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 250 | 19.6%49 W · 201 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Croatia | 6c | 3,105$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.98 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Croatia | 3c | 2,973$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…720fbacked Croatia | 3c | 2,950$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac9…92d3backed Croatia | 3c | 2,859$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 22.1%50 W · 176 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…a2d6backed Croatia | 3c | 2,268$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Croatia | 5c | 2,158$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.91 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Croatia | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…bfd5backed Croatia | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 9.2%16 W · 157 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…2bf0backed Croatia | 4c | 1,596$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.44 | 221 | 22.2%49 W · 172 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95c…7dd1backed Croatia | 3c | 1,267$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Croatia | 5c | 1,250$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Croatia | 1c | 1,200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xded4…1e6dbacked Croatia | 6c | 1,167$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Croatia | 6c | 1,159$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.54 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Croatia | 3c | 1,009$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Croatia | 6c | 883.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Croatia | 3c | 823$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…c1dbbacked Croatia | 6c | 800$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 288 | 8%23 W · 265 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…e3d9backed Croatia | 4c | 665.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 96 | 8.3%8 W · 88 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Croatia | 4c | 643.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Croatia | 3c | 608.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e0…72a6backed Croatia | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Croatia | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 96 | 22.9%22 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…7e15backed Croatia | 6c | 485.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Croatia | 3c | 452.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864e…4faebacked Croatia | 6c | 417$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe71a…cdc1backed Croatia | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 128 | 28.9%37 W · 91 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Croatia | 6c | 403.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Croatia | 5c | 400.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Croatia | 5c | 399.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…476dbacked Croatia | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Croatia | 4c | 333.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 91 | 7.7%7 W · 84 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08d5…1cbbbacked Croatia | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 26.2%28 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Croatia | 5c | 312.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac0…037abacked Croatia | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Croatia | 4c | 277.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 432 | 30.1%130 W · 302 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x280e…b409backed Croatia | 6c | 270.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 128 | 18%23 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Croatia | 5c | 239$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Croatia | 6c | 223$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e89…3e0abacked Croatia | 6c | 180$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 267 | 16.1%43 W · 224 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7b…e259backed Croatia | 6c | 170.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7f…de7fbacked Croatia | 6c | 169.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Croatia (-1.5)this page
- England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- England vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: Croatia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Croatia: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: England O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: England O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: England O/U 2.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5Over won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5Under won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5Under won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Croatia (-2.5)England won
- Spread: England (-1.5)England won
- Spread: England (-2.5)Croatia won
- Spread: England (-3.5)Croatia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.