TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

England vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$423,354
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$481,590

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $423,354 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 370 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Under24c29,527$7,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,045.6177152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over78c19,580$15,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,260.834,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over37c17,351$6,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,001.1227345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over59c10,084$5,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,100.9239644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under57c10,051$5,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,722.864446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under60c9,296$5,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,610.7366846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b5d…7501backed Over78c9,107$7,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,003.638160.5%49 W · 32 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under51c8,139$4,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,150.7942541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under51c8,065$4,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,074.152,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c8…b9e6backed Over78c8,000$6,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76021837.6%82 W · 136 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under53c7,849$4,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,17014232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Over12c7,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,60010128.7%29 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under25c7,215$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,830.341,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over11c7,061$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,284.6559230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5e…fd91backed Under22c7,000$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.984431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under21c6,731$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.3139933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under28c6,136$1,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,735.128229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4419…19d7backed Over78c6,013$4,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.873271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under50c5,781$2,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,904.532,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82a1…569cbacked Over79c5,000$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05011245.5%51 W · 61 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over36c4,616$1,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,944.643,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d24…0088backed Over78c4,601$3,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.261450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over12c4,559$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,016.961,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Over80c4,523$3,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.5310355.3%57 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac6b…7104backed Under23c3,517$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8092416.7%4 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-44.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over77c3,512$2,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.6387651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over11c3,487$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,101.772,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under77c3,387$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60020262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdca1…fb09backed Under36c3,334$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.196624.2%16 W · 50 L+7.5wins+0.11per pick13cpaid+92.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over39c3,271$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,993.958,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over50c3,262$1,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.7549441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over11c3,215$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,861.141,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Over11c3,100$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,758.9610518.1%19 W · 86 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over41c2,703$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,608.031,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over31c2,692$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,861.11,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over46c2,667$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.963,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over11c2,501$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,219.0634125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Under70c2,500$1,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7455466.7%36 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over12c2,407$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,117.7214612.3%18 W · 128 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over64c2,354$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.3159453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Under52c2,333$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.4226447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c2,309$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0921314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Under71c2,122$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5022835.7%10 W · 18 L-6.7wins-0.24per pick59cpaid-44.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x3043…4143backed Under24c2,083$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001711.8%2 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.21per pick33cpaid-67.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x43f6…6de6backed Over78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4403342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over57c2,000$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.9339932.6%130 W · 269 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over19c1,985$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.382,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Under54c1,853$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008749.4%43 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Under22c1,818$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012159.5%72 W · 49 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over20c1,777$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,427.522,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e3…761fbacked Over78c1,725$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.64568.9%31 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Under22c1,665$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.2715440.3%62 W · 92 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under15c1,604$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.822029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3f…a5fcbacked Over49c1,574$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.131776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under28c1,528$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.732931%9 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Under22c1,500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3307338.4%28 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Under42c1,456$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.9920150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed Over18c1,364$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.163735.1%13 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebb…c29abacked Over56c1,323$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.592850%14 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over78c1,300$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2864652.2%24 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under23c1,297$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.2719744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Over78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.056563.1%41 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Over78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.0527742.2%117 W · 160 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Over43c1,248$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.3110160.4%61 W · 40 L+11.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd3d4…59dbbacked Over49c1,224$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.4918449.5%91 W · 93 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over24c1,192$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.391,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x279d…5e89backed Over47c1,190$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.875747.4%27 W · 30 L+10.2wins+0.18per pick29cpaid+46%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x8afe…aec0backed Over78c1,178$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.17977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over47c1,082$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.051,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7cea…371bbacked Over79c1,064$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.56851.5%35 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a4…dec4backed Over79c1,025$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.321580%12 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+26.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Over77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23021444.4%95 W · 119 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Over10c999.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.9736631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbda8…fc16backed Over12c933.33$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.33238.7%2 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick26cpaid-52.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8edc…552bbacked Over79c881.87$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.191963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+65.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over78c870.74$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.5629558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under48c866.15$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.2237650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1326…fdffbacked Over12c833.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.3318936%68 W · 121 L+0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid+12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Under23c813.04$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18710848.1%52 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Over12c804.71$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.717424.3%18 W · 56 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+33.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over11c800$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71215920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under50c772$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.572,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under29c762.6$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.1531545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over12c747.66$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.6620626.2%54 W · 152 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Under53c737.28$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39016342.9%70 W · 93 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x056d…3b69backed Over13c713.55$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.923713.5%5 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e10…1186backed Under71c700$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4966358.7%37 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff26…a5ddbacked Under22c681.82$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503633.3%12 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf561…f20dbacked Over45c666.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.718545.9%39 W · 46 L-8.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Over50c646.33$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.5663544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.0335251.7%182 W · 170 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over49c630.78$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.73568.6%24 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa213…6907backed Under23c628.96$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.664341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over50c625$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.442,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdab8…542dbacked Over79c622.97$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.82366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Over78c600$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1324372.1%31 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Under55c600$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3305962.7%37 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b29…3f32backed Over78c584.62$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a44…d5a5backed Over78c573.28$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.1216549.1%81 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Under58c564.99$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.693938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.