TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

England vs. Croatia: England O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$826,909
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,210,280

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $826,909 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Over54c355,015$191,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163,631.717034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c33,591$15,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,393.824,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under46c15,000$6,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,90074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under47c9,856$4,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,627.083,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under0c8,173$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.398,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Over52c8,155$4,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,911.059929.3%29 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under48c5,398$2,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,590.951,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Over52c5,378$2,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,601.7617544%77 W · 98 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under48c5,146$2,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,456.222,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf44…71a4backed Over52c4,152$2,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,992.734348.8%21 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f67…a203backed Under25c4,005$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015937.7%60 W · 99 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.951,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under47c2,164$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.9229232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under52c1,999$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.4964443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Under48c1,994$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.339150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under47c1,941$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.131,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b57…5d9abacked Over51c1,927$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.068156.8%46 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2567…fc9dbacked Over54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.9512349.6%61 W · 62 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over55c1,828$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.4830465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a8…4527backed Under47c1,719$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.93757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under32c1,559$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.782,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under46c1,539$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.774,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72086452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdeff…78f8backed Under48c1,479$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.833243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over50c1,421$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.822,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under48c1,175$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5661,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16af…b0c4backed Over50c982.47$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.24366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under50c972.8$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.470648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c09…ed31backed Over52c932.08$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.4514440.3%58 W · 86 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8261…a3f1backed Over53c926$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.221442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-34.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8afe…aec0backed Over53c925.49$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.98977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over50c853$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.62,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c810.3$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.952,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8452…cc80backed Under50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002524%6 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-51%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over50c787.73$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.392,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over75c784.85$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.213,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1326…fdffbacked Over54c740.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.7418936%68 W · 121 L+0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid+12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9390…dca0backed Over50c737.18$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.59771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under48c722.87$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.981,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under49c700.4$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.051,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under46c670.5$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.711,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under47c615.97$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.5146550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Under50c580$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29011642.2%49 W · 67 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Over52c566.07$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.0723544.7%105 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x153c…bf6abacked Over53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.049053.3%48 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under49c554.99$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.093,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under32c549.97$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.482,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a1b…530abacked Over78c522.4$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.933855.3%21 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2cb…ad46backed Over51c514.99$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.592842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e8…af7abacked Over53c513.72$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked Over52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2406246.8%29 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under46c499.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23069534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Under49c499.98$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.9936838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93d4…7345backed Under49c499.92$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.962857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Over80c455.22$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7941968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over53c434.6$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.262,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under46c425.38$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.682,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under33c387.49$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1261,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under49c378.37$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.6192038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a44…d5a5backed Over53c371.8$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.7516549.1%81 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under48c370$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.81,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under48c358.39$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.713,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x266a…3579backed Over52c347.69$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.893542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+52.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9fd…4f20backed Over53c313.58$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.383627.8%10 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf17…5c20backed Over53c309.4$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.44639.1%18 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef3a…1eb3backed Over53c305.25$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.474544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under47c300$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1421,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16d4…6e9bbacked Over52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14421128%59 W · 152 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Over51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1216160.9%98 W · 63 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd85…1388backed Over53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.024341.9%18 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under7c282$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.742,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under48c279.97$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.391,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over53c260$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.282348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under46c255$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x744b…848ebacked Over53c233.96$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.967034.3%24 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a55…fd0dbacked Over50c208$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1047850%39 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4712…7b92backed Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021711.8%2 W · 15 L-5.7wins-0.34per pick45cpaid-75.7%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x9f4b…abcbbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9f1…b417backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06b5…ac8bbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d8b…1896backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca3d…2fd7backed Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9410335%36 W · 67 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd43…7d3dbacked Over49c199.93$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.967445.9%34 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4ee9…d719backed Under51c199.02$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92b3…9cd3backed Under51c196.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-66.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa214…ceefbacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.08862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd69a…d57fbacked Over51c193.23$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.684231%13 W · 29 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under49c192.98$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5661750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3119746.2%91 W · 106 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under47c190$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.921,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd00a…8126backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.684528.9%13 W · 32 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-42.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7274…5040backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.689551.6%49 W · 46 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b11…2976backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1917962.6%112 W · 67 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb8…bbc7backed Over51c180.39$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.391172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+44.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd05…51dabacked Over51c180.39$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.391952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1028…d62cbacked Over51c180.39$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.391850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc626…9437backed Over51c180.39$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.391850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e3…31f7backed Over51c180.39$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.391637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb95…9b8dbacked Under50c180$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34df…3eecbacked Under50c180$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.