England vs. Croatia: O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90387faad9abf6d8d1c8e38aeabf8bb0d9f0d604775487d98fc66f7cb3b40a00

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $206,890
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $207,331

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,890 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8325…19ccbacked Under	4c	27,849$1,023 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,022.99	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	8c	21,437$1,715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,714.99	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	7c	17,437$1,221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,220.61	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd6…18e4backed Under	8c	12,529$1,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,002.28	60	16.7%10 W · 50 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5e…fd91backed Under	7c	10,000$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	44	31.8%14 W · 30 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under	2c	5,744$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.07	441	30.8%136 W · 305 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	9c	5,162$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456.23	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under	8c	5,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	306	26.5%81 W · 225 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Under	8c	5,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.97	341	25.8%88 W · 253 L	-10.4wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb831…2ed4backed Under	8c	4,799$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.93	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	12cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x63ad…8089backed Under	6c	4,100$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	+185.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under	1c	3,401$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.67	217	22.1%48 W · 169 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4d…09febacked Under	8c	3,389$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.16	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Under	7c	3,143$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	163	25.8%42 W · 121 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under	4c	3,047$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.18	515	14.2%73 W · 442 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	8c	2,270$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.62	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d08…eda0backed Under	4c	2,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	88	35.2%31 W · 57 L	+8.6wins	+0.10per pick	25cpaid	+136.5%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under	8c	2,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.99	644	43.3%279 W · 365 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d06…6d6dbacked Under	8c	1,984$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.74	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	20cpaid	-80.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Under	8c	1,875$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	285	26.3%75 W · 210 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7763…7830backed Under	3c	1,667$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	62	33.9%21 W · 41 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2b4…3c5abacked Under	9c	1,649$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.39	108	15.7%17 W · 91 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70cf…f6cebacked Under	9c	1,618$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.59	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	17cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	8c	1,246$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.66	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under	8c	1,177$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.37	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under	7c	999.99$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	128	31.3%40 W · 88 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Under	6c	861.74$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.2	186	42.5%79 W · 107 L	+10.5wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	8c	682.41$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.72	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb1f…0f98backed Under	2c	658.58$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.17	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	+238.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	8c	595$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.1	848	44.3%376 W · 472 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under	8c	568.01$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.44	216	30.1%65 W · 151 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under	8c	542.16$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.37	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	8c	516.29$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.3	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under	5c	500.96$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.86	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Under	8c	500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	169	25.4%43 W · 126 L	+7.0wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed Under	5c	499.99$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	226	33.6%76 W · 150 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x635d…7047backed Under	7c	444.79$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.14	175	6.9%12 W · 163 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+112.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea0…8d74backed Under	8c	444.02$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.52	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d25…12c6backed Under	8c	432.63$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	53	22.6%12 W · 41 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79c9…a9d7backed Under	8c	412.5$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c92…c17fbacked Under	9c	388.11$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.93	48	14.6%7 W · 41 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under	7c	362.98$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.41	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	7c	357$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.99	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbce4…d6d6backed Under	8c	300$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+2.6wins	+0.11per pick	23cpaid	+263.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1147…da78backed Under	8c	299.98$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	245	42.9%105 W · 140 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc08d…1e00backed Under	8c	286.24$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.9	126	50%63 W · 63 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb32…a015backed Under	8c	275$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-59.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c06…a52fbacked Under	8c	261.38$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.91	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	19cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Under	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	120	13.3%16 W · 104 L	-6.8wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc50b…1fd9backed Under	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	57	14%8 W · 49 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf561…f20dbacked Under	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	85	45.9%39 W · 46 L	-8.3wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a64…51d1backed Under	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	52	42.3%22 W · 30 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f49…231dbacked Under	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	25	8%2 W · 23 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	16cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7509…1cd2backed Under	8c	199.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	74	18.9%14 W · 60 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6332…4576backed Under	8c	199.5$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.96	150	48%72 W · 78 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under	8c	175$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	514	29.4%151 W · 363 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Under	8c	152.2$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.18	445	24.9%111 W · 334 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Under	9c	143$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.87	658	35%230 W · 428 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e2…4a97backed Under	8c	130$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	30	30%9 W · 21 L	-3.3wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x305e…b28bbacked Under	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	261	33.3%87 W · 174 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Under	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b22…0c6fbacked Under	9c	122.22$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	71	8.5%6 W · 65 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

England vs. Croatia: O/U 0.5this page
England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
England vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: Croatia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. Croatia: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 2.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5Over won
England vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5Under won
England vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5Under won
England vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)England won
Spread: Croatia (-2.5)England won
Spread: England (-1.5)England won
Spread: England (-2.5)Croatia won
Spread: England (-3.5)Croatia won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

England vs. Croatia: O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event