TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,036,688
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,080,213

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,036,688 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 553 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9243…658ebacked Under74c149,999$111,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110,999.6315249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed Under1c127,323$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273.2314544.8%65 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa407…ca38backed Over27c48,520$13,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,495.753458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over26c44,593$11,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,851.651,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over27c37,894$10,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,630.913,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Under5c33,260$1,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,823.2751429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under71c33,040$23,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,584.791,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over26c29,639$7,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,939.212,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under5c20,902$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.3128229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Under75c20,000$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00017949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over72c19,300$13,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,358.339644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under72c18,219$13,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,055.624,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over26c18,000$4,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,3202,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over42c17,341$7,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,110.4677152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cd9…9d8bbacked Under74c14,560$10,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,774.69742.9%3 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick74cpaid-42.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under7c10,380$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.5132656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over26c9,999$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,399.2627345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed Under4c9,221$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.648728.7%25 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Over42c8,775$3,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,080.488254.9%45 W · 37 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under13c8,296$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.3639933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over24c8,227$1,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,252.1859230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over26c8,161$2,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,039.2718738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over36c7,238$2,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,662.471,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over36c7,069$2,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,496.9931545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under74c6,778$5,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,028.592,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f2…8bc3backed Under76c6,589$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc2f…a15fbacked Over27c6,556$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,785.553732.4%12 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-18.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Under2c6,250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1257431.1%23 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under60c6,209$3,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,717.492,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa526…c9f9backed Over39c6,008$2,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,656.374161%25 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8edd…74d2backed Under54c5,944$3,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,225.398835.2%31 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7c7…44b7backed Over27c5,925$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,325.097943%34 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under74c5,844$4,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,334.661,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Under1c5,833$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3323540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over26c5,753$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,283.4195037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over49c5,490$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,790.753,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Under65c5,039$3,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,286.814254.8%23 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Under61c5,000$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,05026447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under75c4,697$3,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,521.62,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed Under3c4,500$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.0110942.2%46 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c4,333$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3321314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Under37c4,198$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,555.13551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe002…152bbacked Over27c3,704$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,703.73946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+35.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over68c3,445$2,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.4187651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x795b…9066backed Over41c3,314$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,956.451020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over64c3,235$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.9234964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x7e86…cb8fbacked Under64c3,125$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under55c3,050$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.4166846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Over26c3,031$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,243.3110128.7%29 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under37c3,028$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.891,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under48c3,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45012862.5%80 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa213…6907backed Under34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0204341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c7…da49backed Over26c2,969$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,196.883243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over26c2,773$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,046.191,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f9a…3f4bbacked Over25c2,740$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0552532%8 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under75c2,701$2,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,017.881,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over26c2,531$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,878.761,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over26c2,500$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,85030431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b99…bad3backed Under76c2,500$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.43per pick57cpaid-53.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Under62c2,419$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5008749.4%43 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over26c2,325$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,720.4334125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Over39c2,261$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.2398134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d4…2983backed Over42c2,245$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.248640.7%35 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Under75c2,222$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.514348.3%69 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Over51c2,158$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.424772.3%34 W · 13 L+12.7wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+107.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under7c2,072$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.592,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x64e9…9324backed Under1c2,059$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.319654.2%52 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc0c…d4dbbacked Under49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e2…1327backed Over25c2,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5004820.8%10 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6370…e2f4backed Over25c2,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5001618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-53%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Under63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2609266.3%61 W · 31 L+13.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Under3c2,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6029347.4%139 W · 154 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under77c2,000$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.9864443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under5c1,934$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7337242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x897c…cb6cbacked Under51c1,912$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.143470.6%24 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over30c1,896$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.992,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over24c1,892$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,443.742,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under74c1,850$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.423,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under2c1,783$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9321722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ff…b556backed Over26c1,700$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2584831.3%15 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a2e…37cabacked Under3c1,635$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.851450%7 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+59.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…c850backed Over25c1,612$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.230140.5%122 W · 179 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc036…2b99backed Under75c1,600$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over27c1,481$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.4845428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3043…4143backed Under21c1,429$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001711.8%2 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.21per pick33cpaid-67.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under5c1,405$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9526647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57ad…698bbacked Under62c1,381$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.062536%9 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under3c1,363$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6125125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x831c…ce7dbacked Under4c1,350$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011044.5%49 W · 61 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e8a…5f49backed Under74c1,350$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9995554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b0…1a94backed Under75c1,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019324.4%47 W · 146 L+0.4wins0.00per pick24cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81da…a109backed Over38c1,287$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.82085%17 W · 3 L+7.9wins+0.40per pick45cpaid+82.2%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under75c1,243$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.611,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2536…5d91backed Over25c1,200$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9002619.2%5 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb013…6c47backed Under21c1,200$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.992470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+35.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over42c1,150$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.112,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fa…140bbacked Over52c1,149$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.7216750.3%84 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb8a…45aabacked Under61c1,148$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002650%13 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Under3c1,135$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.742126.4%111 W · 310 L+1.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.