TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

England vs. Croatia: England O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,908
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,215

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,908 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9db8…2effbacked Under16c14,646$2,344 inLost-$2,344.4420731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Under1c10,000$100 inLost-$10021640.7%88 W · 128 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f67…a203backed Under17c5,882$1,000 inLost-$1,00015937.7%60 W · 99 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbdd…9ba3backed Under17c4,583$779 inLost-$779.194228.6%12 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-28.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under15c1,922$288 inLost-$288.273,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Under1c1,200$12 inLost-$12616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick5cpaid+38.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under17c1,051$179 inLost-$178.743,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under18c999.96$180 inLost-$179.9970648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Under18c780.58$141 inLost-$140.510518.1%19 W · 86 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Under18c600$108 inLost-$10836838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Under16c499.97$80 inLost-$79.996918.8%13 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-61.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under16c333$53 inLost-$53.2845038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97d2…42c9backed Under18c263.44$47 inLost-$47.42944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under18c253.2$45 inLost-$44.723,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under15c231.72$35 inLost-$34.762,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under17c229.23$39 inLost-$38.971,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Under17c176.47$30 inLost-$3040240%161 W · 241 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under15c137.02$21 inLost-$20.551,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Under16c124.98$20 inLost-$2026631.2%83 W · 183 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8a9…2948backed Under17c99.97$17 inLost-$1726042.3%110 W · 150 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45f2…722ebacked Under20c50$10 inLost-$106338.1%24 W · 39 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-34.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.