TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

England vs. Croatia: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,619
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,299

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,619 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4636…43d3backed Over63c793.73$500 inWon+$293.732045%9 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under30c650.43$195 inLost-$195.1358049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…df38backed Over70c614.29$430 inWon+$184.2914248.6%69 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under37c591.68$219 inLost-$218.9234249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under37c182.05$67 inLost-$67.363,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under40c50.42$20 inLost-$20.1770648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c80…6f38backed Over60c40$24 inWon+$1610540%42 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x361a…ea72backed Over76c39.61$30 inWon+$9.614454.5%24 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Over59c33.75$20 inWon+$13.7518947.6%90 W · 99 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x236c…d0e7backed Over70c28.57$20 inWon+$8.571485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.5wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+38.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under41c25$10 inLost-$10.252,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6932…5f93backed Over64c23.59$15 inWon+$8.592060%12 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77fc…432bbacked Over69c21.74$15 inWon+$6.7424955.4%138 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.