TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$209,760
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$206,840

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,760 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under70c135,636$94,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,674.654,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over27c78,915$21,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,380.552,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over32c36,191$11,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,695.614,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under66c10,324$6,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,488.693,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under69c8,624$5,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,679.574,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under60c4,858$2,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,941.682,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over34c4,196$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.061,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed Over37c3,331$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.3612325.2%31 W · 92 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over39c3,330$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.3832029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over33c3,308$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.898,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Over38c2,630$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.429232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over33c2,599$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.951,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb8a…45aabacked Over39c2,530$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.22650%13 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over30c2,408$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.222,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over33c2,277$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.311,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over5c2,184$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.663,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb28…3694backed Over39c2,004$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78717950.3%90 W · 89 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over30c1,900$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57065737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8046…6ea0backed Over6c1,695$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008723%20 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015650%78 W · 78 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under62c1,461$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.292,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b82…2291backed Over41c1,170$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.545145.1%23 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4211…cc77backed Over41c1,086$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over13c1,043$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.071,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Over7c1,000$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7124533.9%83 W · 162 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Over39c761.42$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012159.5%72 W · 49 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Over38c755.91$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28824620.3%50 W · 196 L-21.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under73c641.79$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.141,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a23…0f72backed Under60c601.6$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.1312241.8%51 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x900e…104dbacked Over36c531.89$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over30c523.14$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.262,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked Over32c501.73$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.0418431.5%58 W · 126 L-19.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-36.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over39c500$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19339932.6%130 W · 269 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over24c500$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.841,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under66c495.53$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.672,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Over39c473.04$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.28652.3%45 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over10c456.17$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.622,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x565f…cb2dbacked Over39c448.74$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1768338.6%32 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under62c440.97$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.7743145.2%195 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x855d…9adabacked Over15c407.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2c0…b876backed Over32c397.59$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.8310532.4%34 W · 71 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over36c380$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.161,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Over34c369.62$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1919935.2%70 W · 129 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d20…dffabacked Over28c358.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006250%31 W · 31 L+9.0wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+46.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under72c350.83$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.881,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over39c340$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.3458642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over30c336.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.42,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bad…1e9ebacked Over47c317.92$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012451.6%64 W · 60 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57b9…6655backed Over32c302.78$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.894647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe595…37fcbacked Over40c300.38$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202330.4%7 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Over39c300$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.510549.5%52 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over39c289.1$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.1428964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over40c289.1$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.8335658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over39c289.1$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.1725865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over27c286$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.052,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Under63c275.97$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.0321937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3803…7eafbacked Over6c264.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1620850.5%105 W · 103 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+95.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under77c258.44$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.81,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Under64c257.84$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8422355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1543819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba3…5f54backed Over12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+7.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under72c246.12$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9833443.4%145 W · 189 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9442…9902backed Over41c243.87$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over13c209$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8859453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed Under70c207.16$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1615156.3%85 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over38c199.96$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1846525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbbc…78a1backed Over7c190$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.32330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-44.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20b5…a3b5backed Over45c179.37$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b35…70d9backed Over32c178.13$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked Over34c175.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011535.7%41 W · 74 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed Over47c172.87$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7619742.6%84 W · 113 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ce…6620backed Over19c144.45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Under75c132.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8616556.4%93 W · 72 L-17.5wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-19.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf15b…000fbacked Over39c126.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Over39c126.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.991,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f9…9f14backed Over39c126.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.744032.5%13 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5960…6d42backed Over29c119.96$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2918548.1%89 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x257b…0e25backed Over39c119.94$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8577…0eb3backed Over42c119.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502119%4 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x748a…3ba9backed Over36c115.97$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.33540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf288…3c08backed Over42c115.08$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.994740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x410f…57febacked Over45c112.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1538…8676backed Over45c111.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019548.7%95 W · 100 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a03…47c1backed Over39c103.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405234.6%18 W · 34 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf33…b5f8backed Over29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8920017%34 W · 166 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2841444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over35c99.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.127028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf561…f20dbacked Over41c98.04$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408545.9%39 W · 46 L-8.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa4ef…82b8backed Over44c91.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1556…820ebacked Over39c88.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under67c82.49$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8978234.3%268 W · 514 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Over45c80$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9232959.6%196 W · 133 L+21.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb36e…538fbacked Over38c77.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010845.4%49 W · 59 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Over39c76.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023544.7%105 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bc4…0fd1backed Over42c74.34$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315255.8%29 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ae4…83dfbacked Over41c73.53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3408…201fbacked Over42c68.45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a28…eff6backed Over46c64.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012050.8%61 W · 59 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fc…432bbacked Over39c63.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524955.4%138 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.