TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf288…3c08

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
147
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: La Liga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT4740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.65
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$391.19
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$281.38
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.67
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
England vs. Ghana: England O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$176.09
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$300
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.53
IR Iran to score first vs. Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$102.38
Spread: Japan (-1.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$220.73
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$133
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT2755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$265
Spread: Clippers (-9.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$331.75
Spread: Lakers (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Hornets (-17.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$480
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$185
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$140.66
Spread: Nuggets (-15.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$133.02
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$47.59
Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.18
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Mavericks vs. Cavaliersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$92.14
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$188.22
Spread: Knicks (-13.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
Spread: Pistons (-15.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+112.9%+$169.39
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+89%+$89.04
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+78.2%+$179.89
Spread: Pelicans (-11.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Jazz vs. Wizardsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+156.4%+$78.21
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$477.64
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,490.08
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25.46
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+58.7%+$29.37
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+207.8%+$207.77
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+180.2%+$209
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+52.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+675.2%+$135.04
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$101.52
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$255.37
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$91.6
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+286.1%+$57.22
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$71.11
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+43.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+103.2%+$412.77
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+106.2%+$184.73
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+194.1%+$63.85
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+257.1%+$154.29
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Getafe CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$196.03
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.61
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.51
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-4.5)backed Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.26
Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-2.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$116.37
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.85
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$34.24
All 8 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-48.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+167.4%+$83.71
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$78.54
Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$669Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$668.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.08
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$248.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$42.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+135.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistanbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+135.2%+$270.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Colton Smithbacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+86.2%+$18.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.