Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3a2899b4095335eacb14f575465937113e3767e8e3b4407ffa28441db0be872
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portugalof Portugal, Uzbekistan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,242,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,775,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,242,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,524 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe22a…2703backed Portugal | 45c | 1,121,210$499,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621,210.92 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Uzbekistan | 48c | 717,409$345,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345,556.28 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…2d54backed Uzbekistan | 61c | 499,999$305,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304,999.52 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6a…0f47backed Portugal | 45c | 497,919$224,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273,855.62 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…e4d0backed Uzbekistan | 56c | 213,762$119,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119,706.48 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Portugal | 46c | 178,261$82,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,260.87 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Uzbekistan | 56c | 147,494$82,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,005.47 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Portugal | 65c | 128,787$83,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,572.23 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Uzbekistan | 56c | 125,224$69,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,873.22 | 142 | 32.4%46 W · 96 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked Uzbekistan | 54c | 100,000$54,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,000 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Uzbekistan | 56c | 93,120$52,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,147.2 | 208 | 44.7%93 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac7…6d53backed Portugal | 43c | 93,001$39,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,148.41 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Uzbekistan | 54c | 91,699$49,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,517.34 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Uzbekistan | 55c | 86,241$47,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,430.11 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Portugal | 44c | 76,866$33,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,044.96 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8c…6b71backed Uzbekistan | 56c | 63,000$35,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,279.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Uzbekistan | 54c | 62,222$33,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,599.62 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Portugal | 71c | 57,032$40,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,573.22 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf751…fec8backed Portugal | 44c | 56,000$24,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,360 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55f9…8615backed Uzbekistan | 55c | 54,468$29,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,957.37 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Portugal | 46c | 50,000$23,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,000 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Portugal | 60c | 49,843$29,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,028.5 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Uzbekistan | 26c | 42,855$10,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,971.45 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Uzbekistan | 57c | 42,000$23,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,939.98 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +11.6wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…bcafbacked Portugal | 46c | 40,000$18,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,600 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Uzbekistan | 57c | 40,000$22,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,799.89 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Uzbekistan | 55c | 40,000$22,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,149.84 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Uzbekistan | 55c | 35,000$19,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,250 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Portugal | 44c | 35,000$15,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,600 | 128 | 25.8%33 W · 95 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…f320backed Uzbekistan | 57c | 35,000$19,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,950 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfe…030ebacked Uzbekistan | 55c | 31,320$17,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,225.99 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e47…34a2backed Uzbekistan | 54c | 31,196$16,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,845.7 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Uzbekistan | 45c | 25,909$11,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,700 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Uzbekistan | 21c | 22,760$4,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,810.35 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Portugal | 46c | 21,700$9,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,718 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Uzbekistan | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 135 | 43%58 W · 77 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Uzbekistan | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,799.86 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93eb…c387backed Portugal | 45c | 19,932$8,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,962.6 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed1…eedbbacked Uzbekistan | 55c | 19,408$10,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,674.56 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…6d6fbacked Uzbekistan | 18c | 18,000$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,319.98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…9dcbbacked Uzbekistan | 57c | 17,544$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Portugal | 44c | 16,786$7,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,437.95 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Uzbekistan | 56c | 16,737$9,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,408.31 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…6aa1backed Portugal | 40c | 16,616$6,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,035.97 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Uzbekistan | 55c | 16,000$8,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,750 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked Portugal | 45c | 14,963$6,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,233.54 | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Uzbekistan | 25c | 14,428$3,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,678.8 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…8be4backed Portugal | 40c | 12,500$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Portugal | 40c | 12,500$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0874…6277backed Uzbekistan | 8c | 12,490$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.2 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 16cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32aa…c56ebacked Portugal | 43c | 12,209$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,959.13 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed Portugal | 69c | 12,189$8,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,820.97 | 257 | 53.3%137 W · 120 L | +23.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19b5…c0aebacked Portugal | 45c | 12,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600.01 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Uzbekistan | 55c | 12,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Uzbekistan | 54c | 12,000$6,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,479.97 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Portugal | 43c | 11,628$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,627.82 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Uzbekistan | 55c | 11,200$6,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,160 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Portugal | 44c | 10,500$4,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,865 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Portugal | 72c | 10,451$7,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,956.63 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed Portugal | 38c | 10,168$3,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,305.75 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…b3f4backed Uzbekistan | 1c | 10,124$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Uzbekistan | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Uzbekistan | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Uzbekistan | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.9 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Uzbekistan | 52c | 9,999$5,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,177.15 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f7…5541backed Portugal | 69c | 9,920$6,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050.84 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Portugal | 46c | 9,730$4,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,254.2 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…2763backed Uzbekistan | 13c | 9,667$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 186 | 26.3%49 W · 137 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked Uzbekistan | 2c | 9,477$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.98 | 341 | 22.3%76 W · 265 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa698…db5ebacked Portugal | 43c | 9,333$4,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,319.81 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9806…0367backed Uzbekistan | 55c | 9,091$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…e4e0backed Portugal | 44c | 7,955$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,454.55 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…0d1cbacked Portugal | 44c | 7,955$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,454.55 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…cc3abacked Portugal | 67c | 7,857$5,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590.6 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…138cbacked Portugal | 45c | 7,650$3,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,207.72 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Portugal | 63c | 7,601$4,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,787.04 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21df…7078backed Uzbekistan | 55c | 7,600$4,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,179.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Uzbekistan | 21c | 7,493$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.32 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Uzbekistan | 55c | 7,390$4,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,090.31 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…72a1backed Portugal | 76c | 7,000$5,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Portugal | 42c | 6,919$2,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,012.88 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…f79dbacked Portugal | 46c | 6,550$3,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,537 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfb…efc0backed Portugal | 46c | 6,522$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.74 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Uzbekistan | 54c | 6,438$3,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,476.54 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Uzbekistan | 22c | 6,337$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.59 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Uzbekistan | 27c | 6,193$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.68 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Portugal | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 224 | 51.3%115 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Uzbekistan | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 250 | 19.6%49 W · 201 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Portugal | 45c | 5,555$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055.25 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Uzbekistan | 55c | 5,513$3,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,022.97 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…4c55backed Portugal | 46c | 5,435$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.78 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Portugal | 77c | 5,187$4,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.92 | 88 | 71.6%63 W · 25 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…bf0fbacked Portugal | 35c | 5,182$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,368.28 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed Uzbekistan | 18c | 5,128$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.27 | 290 | 30.7%89 W · 201 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf90c…0850backed Uzbekistan | 56c | 5,082$2,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,846.17 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Uzbekistan | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48da…0419backed Uzbekistan | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…d1afbacked Portugal | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.97 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Uzbekistan | 55c | 4,909$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43f…ec95backed Portugal | 45c | 4,797$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,638.35 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)this page
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 6.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 7.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 8.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 2.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-4.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-5.5)Uzbekistan won
- Spread: Uzbekistan (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Uzbekistan (-2.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Uzbekistan (-5.5)Portugal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.