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Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Portugal (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Portugalof Portugal, Uzbekistan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,242,421
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,775,797

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,242,421 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,524 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe22a…2703backed Portugal45c1,121,210$499,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621,210.921338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Uzbekistan48c717,409$345,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345,556.2877152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Uzbekistan61c499,999$305,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304,999.5215552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c6a…0f47backed Portugal45c497,919$224,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273,855.621546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97cb…e4d0backed Uzbekistan56c213,762$119,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119,706.481376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+54.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Portugal46c178,261$82,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,260.8719644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Uzbekistan56c147,494$82,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82,005.4751032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Portugal65c128,787$83,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,572.232,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Uzbekistan56c125,224$69,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,873.2214232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked Uzbekistan54c100,000$54,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,00014139%55 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Uzbekistan56c93,120$52,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,147.220844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed Portugal43c93,001$39,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,148.419131.9%29 W · 62 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Uzbekistan54c91,699$49,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,517.3474752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Uzbekistan55c86,241$47,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,430.112,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Portugal44c76,866$33,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,044.962,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c8c…6b71backed Uzbekistan56c63,000$35,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,279.991225%3 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Uzbekistan54c62,222$33,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,599.627050%35 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Portugal71c57,032$40,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,573.221,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed Portugal44c56,000$24,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,3609747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55f9…8615backed Uzbekistan55c54,468$29,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,957.371850%9 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed Portugal46c50,000$23,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,0002748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Portugal60c49,843$29,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,028.54,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Uzbekistan26c42,855$10,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,971.4575335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Uzbekistan57c42,000$23,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,939.9810056%56 W · 44 L+11.6wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d77…bcafbacked Portugal46c40,000$18,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,6003525.7%9 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Uzbekistan57c40,000$22,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,799.899451.1%48 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Uzbekistan55c40,000$22,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,149.8453448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Uzbekistan55c35,000$19,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,2502040%8 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Portugal44c35,000$15,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,60012825.8%33 W · 95 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed Uzbekistan57c35,000$19,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,9506045%27 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdfe…030ebacked Uzbekistan55c31,320$17,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,225.992458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e47…34a2backed Uzbekistan54c31,196$16,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,845.77342.5%31 W · 42 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Uzbekistan45c25,909$11,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,70013742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Uzbekistan21c22,760$4,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,810.3534964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Portugal46c21,700$9,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,71814045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Uzbekistan55c20,000$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,00013543%58 W · 77 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Uzbekistan54c20,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,799.8615950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93eb…c387backed Portugal45c19,932$8,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,962.68349.4%41 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked Uzbekistan55c19,408$10,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,674.567448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0c…6d6fbacked Uzbekistan18c18,000$3,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,319.981060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e2…9dcbbacked Uzbekistan57c17,544$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0009045.6%41 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Portugal44c16,786$7,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,437.951,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Uzbekistan56c16,737$9,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,408.311,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Portugal40c16,616$6,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,035.9727345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Uzbekistan55c16,000$8,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,7501,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Portugal45c14,963$6,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,233.5417447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Uzbekistan25c14,428$3,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,678.83,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30e1…8be4backed Portugal40c12,500$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,5004233.3%14 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Portugal40c12,500$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,50010849.1%53 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0874…6277backed Uzbekistan8c12,490$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.23026.7%8 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick16cpaid+4.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32aa…c56ebacked Portugal43c12,209$5,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,959.133450%17 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Portugal69c12,189$8,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,820.9725753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked Portugal45c12,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,600.017757.1%44 W · 33 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Uzbekistan55c12,000$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,60029646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Uzbekistan54c12,000$6,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,479.973520%7 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Portugal43c11,628$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,627.827452.7%39 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Uzbekistan55c11,200$6,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,16010059%59 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Portugal44c10,500$4,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,86536247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Portugal72c10,451$7,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,956.6328042.1%118 W · 162 L-16.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Portugal38c10,168$3,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,305.7526447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ca…b3f4backed Uzbekistan1c10,124$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Uzbekistan55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50014829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Uzbekistan54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,40038026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Uzbekistan56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,599.96842.6%29 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Uzbekistan52c9,999$5,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,177.1519038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95f7…5541backed Portugal69c9,920$6,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,050.8410544.8%47 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Portugal46c9,730$4,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,254.29846.9%46 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Uzbekistan13c9,667$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24018626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Uzbekistan2c9,477$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.9834122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa698…db5ebacked Portugal43c9,333$4,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,319.817962%49 W · 30 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9806…0367backed Uzbekistan55c9,091$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005448.1%26 W · 28 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Portugal44c7,955$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,454.5525336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x910d…0d1cbacked Portugal44c7,955$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,454.554548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Portugal67c7,857$5,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,590.620646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0294…138cbacked Portugal45c7,650$3,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,207.723050%15 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Portugal63c7,601$4,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,787.049742.3%41 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+94.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21df…7078backed Uzbekistan55c7,600$4,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,179.99837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Uzbekistan21c7,493$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,580.3246012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Uzbekistan55c7,390$4,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,090.3147144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x403c…72a1backed Portugal76c7,000$5,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6705030%15 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Portugal42c6,919$2,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,012.8842345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked Portugal46c6,550$3,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,53712536.8%46 W · 79 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcfb…efc0backed Portugal46c6,522$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,521.747129.6%21 W · 50 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Uzbekistan54c6,438$3,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,476.5421937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Uzbekistan22c6,337$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.5918837.2%70 W · 118 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Uzbekistan27c6,193$1,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,687.682,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Portugal45c6,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,30022451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Uzbekistan55c6,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30025019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Portugal45c5,555$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,055.2517452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Uzbekistan55c5,513$3,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,022.9748441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9786…4c55backed Portugal46c5,435$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,934.789549.5%47 W · 48 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked Portugal77c5,187$4,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.928871.6%63 W · 25 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x768b…bf0fbacked Portugal35c5,182$1,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,368.284459.1%26 W · 18 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+28.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Uzbekistan18c5,128$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.2729030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf90c…0850backed Uzbekistan56c5,082$2,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,846.176445.3%29 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Uzbekistan54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x48da…0419backed Uzbekistan54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7002853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13b8…d1afbacked Portugal43c5,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,849.9712655.6%70 W · 56 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Uzbekistan55c4,909$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb43f…ec95backed Portugal45c4,797$2,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,638.351478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+60.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.