Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4424b249e1bd21673f1cc52b7a27ee32b3e12e6d11e4971f931ccb76837dfc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1fad…20d8backed Under | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Over | 36c | 1,389$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.14 | 245 | 33.5%82 W · 163 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 13c | 1,178$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.99 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 18c | 1,163$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.89 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c38…e679backed Over | 31c | 519.13$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 72c | 477.68$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.57 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over | 27c | 334.87$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.59 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 70c | 320.36$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.62 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 14c | 319$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 71c | 287.08$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.21 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 25c | 280.51$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.17 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked Under | 72c | 229.9$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.29 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 19c | 219.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5b…1b89backed Over | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.8wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 73c | 181$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.27 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 74c | 181$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.46 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 73c | 180.45$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…8d97backed Under | 76c | 105$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…0714backed Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3f…c880backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…9c02backed Under | 70c | 90.71$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f94…cb06backed Over | 35c | 81.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…c991backed Over | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Over | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 373 | 23.1%86 W · 287 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 22c | 48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 71c | 46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Over | 36c | 42.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8f…faf6backed Over | 31c | 41.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 39c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 79c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 70c | 18.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5this page
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 6.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 7.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 8.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 2.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-4.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-5.5)Uzbekistan won
- Spread: Uzbekistan (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Uzbekistan (-2.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Uzbekistan (-5.5)Portugal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.