TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$122,304
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,364

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,304 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9db8…2effbacked Under20c29,016$5,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,803.1720731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under21c26,418$5,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,547.544,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over79c18,656$14,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,824.542,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over80c7,864$6,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,572.82,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over79c7,499$5,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.841,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under19c6,242$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.0721836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under21c4,696$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.862,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Over79c4,333$3,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.0315843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over76c3,984$3,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.0470244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Over80c3,750$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.2527433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under2c3,088$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.952,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Under20c2,993$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.616454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under20c2,807$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.343,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Over80c2,729$2,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.778652.3%45 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over80c2,500$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50030465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under6c2,028$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.112,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a881backed Over80c1,750$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35011647.4%55 W · 61 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under22c1,553$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.143,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under22c1,492$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.643,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under24c911.99$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.8870648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x912c…aa92backed Over79c887.29$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.297374%54 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dbb…352fbacked Over80c782.5$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.516441.5%68 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Under19c651.73$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.8316633.7%56 W · 110 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9167447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd254…9858backed Over79c538.67$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.759462.8%59 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed Over78c512.82$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8225842.2%109 W · 149 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Over80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10029463.3%186 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10028337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under21c495.3$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.122,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under20c431.06$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2169534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under20c411.45$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.051,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x822d…339bbacked Over80c375$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+36.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7239932.6%130 W · 269 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca43…9d5cbacked Under21c295.45$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.044353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb5…a739backed Over80c276.89$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.389733%32 W · 65 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over80c270.45$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.099467%63 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under15c259.33$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.161,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ae0…243dbacked Over76c257.84$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.881844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa6…4256backed Over80c250.26$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44e9…ec97backed Over80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504953.1%26 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5362…d3fbbacked Over80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507744.2%34 W · 43 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Under20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022835.5%81 W · 147 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Under21c238.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5073234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0457…24b8backed Over79c235.88$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.442075%15 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa37b…63a1backed Under20c216$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.22951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under20c212.77$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5577845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3551…ab11backed Over80c210$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe620…03acbacked Over77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4617045.9%78 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7921…bbc3backed Over80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4024140.2%97 W · 144 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under20c160$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3282348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc345…8e8cbacked Over80c155.4$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.082835.7%10 W · 18 L-5.0wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-35.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Under20c138$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.626631.2%83 W · 183 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a01…1a3cbacked Under23c130.04$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9124246.7%113 W · 129 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over79c127.97$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.42,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1300…d632backed Over80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2510747.7%51 W · 56 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6919…da67backed Over80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2513357.1%76 W · 57 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eba…cbcfbacked Over80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce6e…1256backed Under21c117.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.756126.2%16 W · 45 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d33…80a6backed Under22c113.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254829.2%14 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over79c109.7$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.62,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3c…0fd6backed Under23c100.66$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.15666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Over80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208161.7%50 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2019958.3%116 W · 83 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d42…eb8ebacked Over79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2111560%69 W · 46 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ff0…c7aabacked Under20c98.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.611553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Over80c93.19$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6415667.9%106 W · 50 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b58…7357backed Over80c83.69$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over78c79.28$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.281,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e90…ce0dbacked Over76c78.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.956147.5%29 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca7e…f568backed Under22c75.76$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.673537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x404a…19b2backed Over80c75.13$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1325754.5%140 W · 117 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd3…8a64backed Over80c75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154360.5%26 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd60f…ba25backed Under27c73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.712835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid+32.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x88ad…9e5fbacked Over80c70$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1411058.2%64 W · 46 L-0.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f5d…946ebacked Over80c68.75$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.753250%16 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under21c67.02$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.743,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under21c65.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.691,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4059…8763backed Over76c64.97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.596360.3%38 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Under20c63.75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7561855.3%342 W · 276 L+23.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06e8…97ddbacked Over80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-66%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58cf…6b6fbacked Over80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.58562.4%53 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0f1…db16backed Over80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.56065%39 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4722…36bbbacked Over80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.510761.7%66 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada8…2a67backed Over80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.54551.1%23 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf509…86dcbacked Over80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.57342.5%31 W · 42 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ca…2f70backed Over80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.58459.5%50 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc053…8c11backed Over80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4143…3783backed Over80c62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.415746.5%73 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over80c61.25$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2525455.9%142 W · 112 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under22c57.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.721,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30b8…b6a0backed Over80c56.31$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.261580%12 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+50.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Over80c54.88$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9827363.4%173 W · 100 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Under20c54.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6935034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.52,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd800…c256backed Over76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1231358.1%182 W · 131 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4206…f874backed Over80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108270.7%58 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5366…73aabacked Over80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106669.7%46 W · 20 L+7.6wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf455…9d55backed Over76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.