TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Uzbekistan (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Portugalof Uzbekistan, Portugal
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,011
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,100

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,011 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x06f2…1269backed Uzbekistan0c27,017$27 inLost-$27.0238333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ac…ef96backed Uzbekistan2c15,101$300 inLost-$3001225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Uzbekistan1c8,167$85 inLost-$84.588,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Uzbekistan1c4,335$48 inLost-$47.7495037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Uzbekistan1c3,000$30 inLost-$3035614.3%51 W · 305 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Uzbekistan1c2,000$12 inLost-$1210026%26 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Uzbekistan1c1,650$14 inLost-$14.073,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Uzbekistan1c1,458$11 inLost-$10.872,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1bc…7e33backed Uzbekistan2c1,219$24 inLost-$24.383333.3%11 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x25ef…a545backed Uzbekistan1c1,101$11 inLost-$1120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc13b…87bdbacked Uzbekistan1c1,000$10 inLost-$103534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+41.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Uzbekistan1c1,000$12 inLost-$1210518.1%19 W · 86 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b38…2bbfbacked Uzbekistan1c1,000$10 inLost-$1010450%52 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.