Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa067a8e00662724e702bb667eb1b48ba812b477d3ec711f4af794ca4db89443b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 8c | 35,439$2,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,851.5 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Over | 8c | 21,676$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.32 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 7c | 17,276$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.3 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 8c | 16,501$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.08 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 9c | 3,288$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.92 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 9c | 2,306$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.56 | 146 | 12.3%18 W · 128 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 1c | 2,261$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51f…3e10backed Over | 5c | 1,479$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 1c | 1,279$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 10c | 1,028$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 146 | 20.5%30 W · 116 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Over | 8c | 999.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…5ec9backed Over | 10c | 982.49$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 9c | 982.26$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.21 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 3c | 704.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 7c | 617.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 8c | 470.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Over | 11c | 467.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…751abacked Over | 9c | 417.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 732 | 34.6%253 W · 479 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Over | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 233 | 36.9%86 W · 147 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 8c | 325$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…cfdabacked Over | 11c | 321$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 79 | 11.4%9 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 9c | 275.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 64c | 232.85$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.65 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 9c | 220$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9aa…6628backed Over | 9c | 189.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 8c | 169.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 10c | 159.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc966…e142backed Over | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -72%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Over | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a3…0c5dbacked Over | 10c | 140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821b…d028backed Over | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 10c | 130.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 46c | 124$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…27c9backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 28c | 65.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 414 | 44.9%186 W · 228 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 29c | 62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 22c | 62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…6edebacked Over | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 470 | 29.1%137 W · 333 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de2…cd3fbacked Under | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 207 | 33.3%69 W · 138 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 64c | 49.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 1.5this page
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 6.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 7.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 8.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 2.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-4.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-5.5)Uzbekistan won
- Spread: Uzbekistan (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Uzbekistan (-2.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Uzbekistan (-5.5)Portugal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.