Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x079221e2d63b3a7524fba0afd0b66f512f7ee67b5bf77e09494a828a7c206407
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portugalof Portugal, Uzbekistan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,956,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,143,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,956,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe549…2d54backed Uzbekistan | 42c | 299,999$126,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125,999.76 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Uzbekistan | 31c | 232,191$71,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,843.71 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Portugal | 58c | 154,172$89,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,022.94 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdac7…6d53backed Portugal | 64c | 93,013$59,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,624.07 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Portugal | 74c | 72,408$53,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,057.53 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Portugal | 68c | 70,773$48,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,474.8 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Uzbekistan | 34c | 70,408$23,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,620.06 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Uzbekistan | 31c | 62,999$19,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,529.73 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Uzbekistan | 43c | 60,000$25,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,799.96 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Portugal | 64c | 55,691$35,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,048.64 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Portugal | 68c | 51,439$34,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,610.05 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Uzbekistan | 32c | 44,434$14,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,218.72 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Uzbekistan | 31c | 40,000$12,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,399.93 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Portugal | 68c | 36,314$24,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,676.22 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Uzbekistan | 32c | 35,517$11,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,210.18 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…619ebacked Portugal | 68c | 34,000$23,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,879.98 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Uzbekistan | 11c | 29,361$3,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300.65 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Portugal | 68c | 27,590$18,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,949.56 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Portugal | 64c | 22,124$14,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,889.81 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Uzbekistan | 36c | 20,733$7,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,477.26 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Portugal | 69c | 20,000$13,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Uzbekistan | 31c | 20,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,199.95 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Portugal | 67c | 19,909$13,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,519.86 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Portugal | 68c | 19,500$13,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,318.96 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…627bbacked Portugal | 61c | 16,412$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,411.7 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Uzbekistan | 40c | 16,277$6,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,447.97 | 228 | 46.9%107 W · 121 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Portugal | 68c | 16,000$10,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,119.95 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a2…353abacked Portugal | 68c | 15,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked Uzbekistan | 31c | 13,200$4,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,091.94 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7042…c72bbacked Portugal | 67c | 12,422$8,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.26 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Uzbekistan | 32c | 12,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,839.95 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…0445backed Portugal | 69c | 11,594$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,594.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked Uzbekistan | 2c | 11,259$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.57 | 341 | 22.3%76 W · 265 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09dd…7e13backed Portugal | 68c | 11,248$7,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,579.36 | 379 | 44.1%167 W · 212 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Uzbekistan | 36c | 11,035$4,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,019.55 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ad…55b7backed Portugal | 69c | 10,145$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,144.93 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed Portugal | 60c | 10,000$5,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,040 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Portugal | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac35…c2d4backed Portugal | 69c | 9,509$6,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,947.7 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02d8…0c91backed Portugal | 67c | 8,881$5,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,930.65 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Portugal | 69c | 8,257$5,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,559.67 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Portugal | 68c | 8,066$5,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,581.12 | 239 | 42.3%101 W · 138 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Uzbekistan | 31c | 8,001$2,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505.95 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Uzbekistan | 32c | 7,873$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…3989backed Portugal | 68c | 7,816$5,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475.87 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Uzbekistan | 32c | 7,610$2,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,435.04 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e24…3474backed Portugal | 68c | 7,353$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.94 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…4c55backed Portugal | 69c | 7,246$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.38 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Portugal | 69c | 7,109$4,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.7 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc229…1b74backed Portugal | 68c | 6,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +10.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Portugal | 68c | 6,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.98 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Portugal | 68c | 6,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.98 | 224 | 51.3%115 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Uzbekistan | 33c | 5,616$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.54 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Portugal | 67c | 5,532$3,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.51 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Uzbekistan | 33c | 5,373$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.47 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…5fa9backed Portugal | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Portugal | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Uzbekistan | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…afeabacked Portugal | 61c | 4,918$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.03 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Uzbekistan | 33c | 4,819$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.56 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab93…b17dbacked Uzbekistan | 34c | 4,700$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.98 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Uzbekistan | 35c | 4,553$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.67 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Uzbekistan | 38c | 4,449$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.15 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x835a…530abacked Portugal | 69c | 4,348$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.83 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73c9…5eb1backed Portugal | 69c | 4,348$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.83 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0402…4e41backed Portugal | 68c | 4,245$2,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.39 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Uzbekistan | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Uzbekistan | 36c | 4,000$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Uzbekistan | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Uzbekistan | 11c | 3,906$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.11 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Portugal | 69c | 3,890$2,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.86 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Uzbekistan | 8c | 3,750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Uzbekistan | 4c | 3,680$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.7 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa526…c9f9backed Portugal | 69c | 3,606$2,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.95 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Uzbekistan | 31c | 3,440$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.58 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Uzbekistan | 39c | 3,337$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.82 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa698…db5ebacked Portugal | 66c | 3,333$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.16 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb157…0120backed Portugal | 68c | 3,235$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.29 | 150 | 42.7%64 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Uzbekistan | 2c | 3,226$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Portugal | 65c | 3,200$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Uzbekistan | 38c | 3,183$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.6 | 335 | 49%164 W · 171 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Uzbekistan | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.95 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9278…9a1bbacked Portugal | 69c | 3,116$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.94 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd760…f7f5backed Uzbekistan | 33c | 3,059$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Portugal | 58c | 3,051$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.48 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e58…5749backed Portugal | 69c | 3,013$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.04 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…d6fabacked Portugal | 68c | 3,005$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.5 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…e7a8backed Uzbekistan | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 296 | 33.4%99 W · 197 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…d2c7backed Portugal | 66c | 2,997$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.69 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab63…8f4bbacked Portugal | 68c | 2,941$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.18 | 126 | 34.9%44 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Portugal | 69c | 2,899$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.55 | 144 | 30.6%44 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…3f6fbacked Uzbekistan | 34c | 2,896$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Uzbekistan | 36c | 2,779$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.66 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…1d6cbacked Portugal | 68c | 2,751$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.19 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Uzbekistan | 34c | 2,686$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.99 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Portugal | 67c | 2,612$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.94 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Portugal | 58c | 2,610$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.2 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Uzbekistan | 37c | 2,593$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.83 | 403 | 43.7%176 W · 227 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Portugal | 67c | 2,500$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d2…586fbacked Portugal | 69c | 2,464$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.77 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)this page
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 6.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 7.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 8.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 2.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-4.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-5.5)Uzbekistan won
- Spread: Uzbekistan (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Uzbekistan (-2.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Uzbekistan (-5.5)Portugal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.