TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$484,067
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$585,422

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $484,067 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 364 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x94e4…87e0backed Under30c79,527$24,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,060.655523.6%13 W · 42 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over68c62,914$42,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,118.263,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over46c46,189$21,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,044.092,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under51c37,083$18,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,912.2374752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over49c26,527$13,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,527.4714248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9340…ae1dbacked Over49c20,408$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,408.167416.2%12 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Under54c19,370$10,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,459.7637754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a72…17c0backed Under55c17,983$9,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,851.951540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under51c14,000$7,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,139.9623949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over51c13,195$6,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,432.348,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Over46c12,411$5,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,702.0112255.7%68 W · 54 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under52c12,000$6,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,239.9714232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under53c12,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,299.911,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1de2…02d9backed Under54c10,996$5,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,918.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a22…7b00backed Over49c10,231$5,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,217.913467.6%23 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c8,495$3,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,339.094,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over48c8,298$3,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,315.0170244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under52c8,095$4,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,236.781,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under53c8,024$4,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,241.722,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under51c8,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,08013746.7%64 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Under52c7,829$4,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,071.058931.5%28 W · 61 L-9.0wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb2d5…d9c9backed Over49c6,122$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,122.451776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8796…4b9abacked Over72c5,189$3,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,458.672642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x514b…5fa9backed Over45c5,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7507538.7%29 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under53c4,500$2,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,378.753,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Over48c4,167$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.677038.6%27 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce7…362bbacked Under54c3,709$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Over48c3,621$1,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,874.4717733.9%60 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked Under52c3,563$1,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8537331.5%23 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over71c3,489$2,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.3735244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under51c3,378$1,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,711.962,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over46c3,261$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.8715034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ef5…fc37backed Over47c2,842$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,506.2610152.5%53 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Over47c2,630$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.799647.9%46 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b6…b7cdbacked Over48c2,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3004643.5%20 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under34c2,451$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.9637650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over67c2,348$1,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.692,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under54c2,316$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.651,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over48c2,292$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.6724341.2%100 W · 143 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over62c2,217$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.54,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d86…52acbacked Under27c2,057$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.36633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick9cpaid+335.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.8231435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.9870648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Under52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over64c1,853$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.1587237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under55c1,829$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.11,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa0…e78abacked Under52c1,817$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.098950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over73c1,769$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.9136539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed Under57c1,730$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.536640.9%27 W · 39 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under55c1,600$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88037850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under25c1,585$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9934533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under26c1,526$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.2144539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65f5…9c8cbacked Over48c1,519$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.751546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick30cpaid+51.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x39bc…2739backed Over48c1,458$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.339241.3%38 W · 54 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over48c1,434$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.9617938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under55c1,400$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77038351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over75c1,339$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34124533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fcc…e083backed Over75c1,336$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.596732.8%22 W · 45 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9303…cc05backed Over73c1,224$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.341266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under54c1,200$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64835251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f8…003dbacked Under1c1,200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12948.5%8 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-82.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Over48c1,159$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.927346.6%34 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed06…72e7backed Under54c1,131$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.65040%20 W · 30 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under53c1,095$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.163,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d33…4af5backed Over49c1,082$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.632937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under54c1,045$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.5336250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb339…6a14backed Over49c1,005$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.34128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.25per pick33cpaid-83%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under57c1,002$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.1361752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Over45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55036631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52033149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Over45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55031728.1%89 W · 228 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Over44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56019750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016427.4%45 W · 119 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Under51c999.99$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.9927845.7%127 W · 151 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Over41c968$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56856240.6%228 W · 334 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under52c962.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under26c959.03$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.9423637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under53c943.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f3…85cabacked Over56c894.11$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.112532%8 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14fe…e0fdbacked Under52c890$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.82147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.3337955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x967d…ef6abacked Over74c814.25$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.816473.4%47 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under52c800$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41645038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Over47c769.98$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.0910556.2%59 W · 46 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd62…6c34backed Over73c755.05$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.483378.8%26 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick65cpaid+34.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under28c732.87$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.9136234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over49c714.29$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.2946223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under38c711.26$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.962,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a8…140fbacked Over71c703.22$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.223855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x662b…73a8backed Over43c701.98$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.9827236%98 W · 174 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x735c…55edbacked Under29c690.01$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.989835.7%35 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb124…7380backed Over48c687.5$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.534537.1%128 W · 217 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over48c646.42$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.4218742.8%80 W · 107 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Over47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.32356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under56c637.09$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.7776551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under54c619.33$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.6338451.6%198 W · 186 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Over49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.2427742.2%117 W · 160 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over46c611.24$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.981,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over52c603.24$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.5629558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under55c600$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33039050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.