Spread: Portugal (-4.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff091b71d8d5e932ef0240d6b1864de319ab2d93842fcdeb9a62a6bd91b98313

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Portugalof Portugal, Uzbekistan
Resolved: Jun 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $547,412
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $611,961

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $547,412 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 399 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Uzbekistan	53c	101,748$53,844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53,843.53	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Uzbekistan	55c	34,837$19,266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,265.57	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Portugal	50c	21,040$10,433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,607.04	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e1f…ff77backed Uzbekistan	66c	20,000$13,181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,181.47	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Portugal	46c	14,968$6,952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,015.31	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Portugal	50c	14,008$6,995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,013.46	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Uzbekistan	58c	10,000$5,780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,779.6	137	42.3%58 W · 79 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Portugal	36c	9,999$3,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,399.4	98	23.5%23 W · 75 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Portugal	41c	9,269$3,842 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,426.38	206	46.1%95 W · 111 L	+12.9wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Portugal	42c	9,100$3,822 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,278	82	54.9%45 W · 37 L	+7.7wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+12%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Portugal	52c	8,752$4,589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,163.35	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Portugal	54c	8,686$4,653 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,033.46	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Portugal	50c	8,175$4,092 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,083.36	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Portugal	54c	7,630$4,089 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,541.22	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Portugal	61c	6,388$3,922 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,465.94	280	42.1%118 W · 162 L	-16.5wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed Portugal	32c	5,882$1,886 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,995.67	226	33.6%76 W · 150 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc0…5765backed Portugal	45c	5,876$2,644 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,231.6	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf989…47ccbacked Portugal	29c	5,864$1,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,163.52	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	+5.5wins	+0.12per pick	31cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Uzbekistan	61c	5,027$3,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,055.92	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Uzbekistan	54c	4,826$2,614 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,614.11	180	56.1%101 W · 79 L	+14.8wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Uzbekistan	46c	4,612$2,118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,118.14	437	37.8%165 W · 272 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Portugal	43c	4,474$1,918 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,556.28	872	37.8%330 W · 542 L	-39.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Portugal	53c	4,310$2,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,009.5	352	44%155 W · 197 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb2…f24cbacked Portugal	12c	4,133$492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,641.18	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	-10%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Portugal	50c	4,029$2,033 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,996.54	390	39%152 W · 238 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Portugal	11c	4,000$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,559.99	105	18.1%19 W · 86 L	-7.3wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fd8…7749backed Portugal	49c	4,000$1,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,039.99	160	41.3%66 W · 94 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Portugal	46c	3,912$1,791 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,120.92	188	37.2%70 W · 118 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Portugal	51c	3,838$1,944 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,894.61	1,492	41%612 W · 880 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x48da…0419backed Uzbekistan	67c	3,447$2,298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,298.14	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Portugal	41c	3,327$1,370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,956.91	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4931…6f58backed Uzbekistan	71c	3,000$2,130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,130	55	45.5%25 W · 30 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked Portugal	33c	3,000$990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,010	125	36.8%46 W · 79 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Uzbekistan	55c	3,000$1,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,649.92	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Uzbekistan	52c	2,988$1,559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,559.41	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd044…a6febacked Portugal	12c	2,619$314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,304.63	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf763…a0aabacked Uzbekistan	53c	2,589$1,377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,376.97	187	65.2%122 W · 65 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Portugal	77c	2,575$1,978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$597.07	208	56.7%118 W · 90 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Portugal	38c	2,561$985 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,575.37	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Uzbekistan	50c	2,520$1,253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,252.86	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Portugal	44c	2,377$1,046 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,330.9	213	43.2%92 W · 121 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Portugal	13c	2,361$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,060.64	78	35.9%28 W · 50 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Portugal	35c	2,257$785 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,471.28	536	29.9%160 W · 376 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Uzbekistan	53c	2,194$1,159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,159.47	108	51.9%56 W · 52 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Portugal	23c	2,183$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,682.7	123	34.1%42 W · 81 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Uzbekistan	77c	2,013$1,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,550.01	403	43.7%176 W · 227 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Uzbekistan	42c	2,008$847 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$847.43	460	12.4%57 W · 403 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac35…ad85backed Portugal	44c	1,931$850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,080.62	73	20.5%15 W · 58 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Uzbekistan	64c	1,902$1,226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,225.98	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf45…c794backed Uzbekistan	57c	1,872$1,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,073.75	128	46.1%59 W · 69 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Portugal	33c	1,800$594 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,206	154	18.8%29 W · 125 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e60…3badbacked Portugal	52c	1,773$919 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$854.1	86	27.9%24 W · 62 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc769…8316backed Uzbekistan	66c	1,756$1,153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,152.71	77	51.9%40 W · 37 L	+7.1wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Portugal	29c	1,723$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,222.96	608	21.9%133 W · 475 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0189…5861backed Portugal	13c	1,600$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,392	176	36.4%64 W · 112 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Portugal	31c	1,545$478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,066.91	270	34.4%93 W · 177 L	+14.4wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Portugal	35c	1,507$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$982.76	264	59.5%157 W · 107 L	+18.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Portugal	55c	1,500$823 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$676.55	95	47.4%45 W · 50 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x635c…45c6backed Uzbekistan	69c	1,449$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8a8…be88backed Portugal	35c	1,424$505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$919.45	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x866c…19c0backed Uzbekistan	56c	1,392$786 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$786.38	248	49.6%123 W · 125 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f03…ec6abacked Portugal	48c	1,381$658 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$722.67	78	24.4%19 W · 59 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-28%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Portugal	9c	1,363$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,240.42	207	24.6%51 W · 156 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc33…eb35backed Uzbekistan	77c	1,290$993 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$993.08	71	57.7%41 W · 30 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Uzbekistan	56c	1,273$713 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$712.57	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Portugal	53c	1,234$654 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$579.75	229	43.7%100 W · 129 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Uzbekistan	58c	1,190$696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$695.81	445	24.9%111 W · 334 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Portugal	53c	1,097$584 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$513.29	388	19.1%74 W · 314 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38ad…590dbacked Portugal	56c	1,067$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$466.71	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Portugal	40c	1,047$421 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$625.94	855	50.6%433 W · 422 L	+54.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Portugal	43c	1,005$432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$572.76	94	50%47 W · 47 L	+4.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Uzbekistan	80c	1,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	128	62.5%80 W · 48 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15c2…345abacked Portugal	25c	999.99$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$749.99	87	42.5%37 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Uzbekistan	60c	999.98$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.99	50	50%25 W · 25 L	+3.6wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+19%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Portugal	48c	980.93$471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$509.98	228	46.1%105 W · 123 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Portugal	37c	952.01$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$602.01	227	49.3%112 W · 115 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x737d…7590backed Portugal	43c	949.7$404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$545.83	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Uzbekistan	46c	943.63$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.5	421	26.4%111 W · 310 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Portugal	36c	925$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$592	361	23.5%85 W · 276 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Portugal	41c	888.85$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$528.83	237	29.1%69 W · 168 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Uzbekistan	56c	886.62$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	85	30.6%26 W · 59 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c86…6a80backed Portugal	12c	813.49$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$713.49	148	39.9%59 W · 89 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69e7…0824backed Uzbekistan	68c	800$544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$544	61	55.7%34 W · 27 L	+4.4wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f82…a760backed Portugal	62c	789.26$486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.37	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+2.3wins	+0.26per pick	63cpaid	+37.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Uzbekistan	48c	786.46$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.74	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x627b…285bbacked Portugal	13c	769.23$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$669.23	128	44.5%57 W · 71 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4702…5d04backed Portugal	34c	760.92$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$505.92	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Portugal	44c	750$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420	450	38.2%172 W · 278 L	-28.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8390…09f1backed Portugal	7c	714.24$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$664.24	142	35.9%51 W · 91 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5095…caabbacked Uzbekistan	14c	706.11$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	46	58.7%27 W · 19 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd22…11ffbacked Uzbekistan	78c	702.55$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.98	67	32.8%22 W · 45 L	-6.4wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Portugal	45c	700$314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$386	150	54%81 W · 69 L	+10.5wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x403c…72a1backed Portugal	54c	699.99$375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325	50	30%15 W · 35 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bca…ae50backed Portugal	55c	679.83$374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305.83	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Portugal	44c	677.16$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$377.16	205	47.3%97 W · 108 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaaa7…e4adbacked Portugal	15c	673.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$573.31	53	20.8%11 W · 42 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked Portugal	15c	666.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$566.68	267	16.1%43 W · 224 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72e…c780backed Portugal	61c	656.83$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.83	145	39.3%57 W · 88 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Uzbekistan	64c	599.99$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.99	279	39.8%111 W · 168 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68cb…6f57backed Uzbekistan	57c	587.61$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.94	46	37%17 W · 29 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Portugal (-4.5)this page
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5Under won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 6.5Under won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 7.5Under won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 8.5Under won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 2.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Portugal won
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Portugal won
Spread: Portugal (-5.5)Uzbekistan won
Spread: Uzbekistan (-1.5)Portugal won
Spread: Uzbekistan (-2.5)Portugal won
Spread: Uzbekistan (-5.5)Portugal won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Portugal (-4.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event