Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2dcae988483a6dca63f0084bb1a3524c21c1ce456f153045c48da9c201f03ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 25c | 16,003$4,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,028.37 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Under | 18c | 9,440$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.02 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +14.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 19c | 8,172$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.09 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 74c | 4,817$3,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.11 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 23c | 3,964$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.48 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Under | 18c | 3,504$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.66 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b99…4b3abacked Under | 26c | 2,891$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.64 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked Over | 77c | 1,700$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed Under | 16c | 1,162$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.46 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 26c | 1,106$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.85 | 137 | 36.5%50 W · 87 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Under | 26c | 999.95$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 142 | 34.5%49 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…9384backed Under | 25c | 788$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a4f0backed Over | 77c | 652$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Over | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9eb…5ed8backed Over | 78c | 641.38$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.38 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…e3c8backed Under | 25c | 623.97$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 76c | 578.95$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.95 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Over | 74c | 539.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.09 | 379 | 55.7%211 W · 168 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 283 | 37.1%105 W · 178 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 22c | 485.08$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…1ac8backed Under | 16c | 464.89$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.62 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +42%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6d…27bbbacked Under | 27c | 462.55$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…6655backed Over | 78c | 379.73$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.54 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c38…e679backed Under | 36c | 375.63$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 22c | 373$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.06 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 74c | 317.32$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.19 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 25c | 300$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.67 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2842…fb48backed Over | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 76c | 259.37$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed Over | 78c | 198.72$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed Under | 28c | 195.36$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…105dbacked Over | 75c | 150.51$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 177 | 35%62 W · 115 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…cd64backed Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Under | 20c | 118.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 74c | 102.01$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 74c | 100.54$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b8…e82abacked Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…01abbacked Over | 76c | 98.22$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d06…e85ebacked Under | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 74c | 92.85$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 25c | 81.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…e7c4backed Over | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd107…28e1backed Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 75c | 61.84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba1…6d1dbacked Over | 76c | 59.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4206…f874backed Over | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 82 | 70.7%58 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…a779backed Over | 76c | 43.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e8…694dbacked Over | 77c | 40.26$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6e…1647backed Over | 76c | 40.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc7…23f9backed Under | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 72c | 36.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…7a5dbacked Over | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…7b04backed Over | 76c | 32.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf262…c56dbacked Over | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 75c | 24.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0392…ab02backed Over | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc7…6895backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 84 | 73.8%62 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 6.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 7.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 8.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 2.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-4.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-5.5)Uzbekistan won
- Spread: Uzbekistan (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Uzbekistan (-2.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Uzbekistan (-5.5)Portugal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.