Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score in First Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7c3b9b52617ba76312f0c64529c032595beaeb46406b27a2e58f1bbba66a9aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 17c | 2,449$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.72 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 1c | 1,250$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.46 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,071$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6f…1765backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e2…d8f6backed Yes | 17c | 882.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 73c | 839.75$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.31 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…98bbbacked No | 9c | 775.93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 7cpaid | +285%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15a2…3e89backed Yes | 18c | 527.35$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.84 | 112 | 19.6%22 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…b630backed Yes | 25c | 508$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked No | 29c | 500$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.46 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 16c | 493.01$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.88 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…fd5ebacked Yes | 12c | 417.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…df9abacked Yes | 15c | 413.33$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 70c | 384.96$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.84 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 70c | 369.44$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.57 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b5…cf60backed Yes | 15c | 332.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…9e3dbacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c6…f54ebacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 33c | 278.24$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.78 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…cfdabacked Yes | 15c | 243$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 79 | 11.4%9 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Yes | 14c | 238.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…2bf0backed Yes | 13c | 216.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 221 | 22.2%49 W · 172 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…a42abacked Yes | 15c | 200.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4b…c81ebacked Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 60c | 175.42$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.58 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Yes | 11c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…9e15backed Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bf…805cbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 154 | 25.3%39 W · 115 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b53…0a25backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…17bfbacked Yes | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…5af0backed Yes | 17c | 119.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 309 | 28.8%89 W · 220 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 11c | 116.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…f3a3backed Yes | 12c | 109.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 56c | 105.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…9a3ebacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 300 | 32.3%97 W · 203 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ac…df97backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…d9a4backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…c991backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x851f…642fbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…2f94backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 207 | 29%60 W · 147 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 37c | 60.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e52…ec62backed Yes | 17c | 59.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…75ebbacked Yes | 42c | 52.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 60c | 30.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score in First Halfthis page
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 6.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 7.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 8.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 2.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-4.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-5.5)Uzbekistan won
- Spread: Uzbekistan (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Uzbekistan (-2.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Uzbekistan (-5.5)Portugal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.